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Detroit bombers success would have destroyed Obama's presidency.

 

Barack Obama has had a very lucky escape with the Detroit bomber

The more details of the failed Detroit airline bomb attack  on Christmas Day come to the surface, the more I can’t help thinking that American President Barack Obama has had a very lucky escape. Just imagine the damage that would have been inflicted on Mr Obama’s presidency if Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab had actually succeeded in blowing up the Detroit-bound aircraft in mid-air.

Former President George W. Bush was heavily criticised for not doing enough to prevent the September 11 attacks, even though the 9/11 Commission demonstrated that, even though there were scraps of intelligence that some kind of al-Qaeda attack was imminent, there was insufficient information to point to the well-orchestrated attacks on New York and Washington.

But over the past few days a great amount of detail has been published about just how much intelligence there was available in the U.S. on Abdulmutallab. And the failure of America’s various intelligence agencies to process this information adequately led to Abdulmutallab boarding a flight to Detroit and coming within a whisker of causing the worst terrorist outrage on American soil since the 9/11 attacks.

Today we report that MI5 told the Americans more than a year ago that the Detroit bomber had links to Islamic extremists. And even though the White House is contesting MI5’s claims, the overall intelligence picture suggests that the Americans had sufficient information to know that Abdulmutallab posed a serious security risk, and their failure to prevent him boarding a U.S.-bound flight represents a massive failure of the American intelligence-gathering operation.

Mr Obama is ultimately responsible for the way the country is run, and he should count his blessings that Abdulmutallab failed in his diabolical scheme to blow up an American aircraft as it prepared to land. For had the Nigerian-born terrorist succeeded he would not only have destroyed the aircraft but Mr Obama’s presidency.

 

 

 

 
Terrorists know airport security and its weakness.

 

The chink in airports' armor

The chink in airports' armor

 

African nations can't meet even the old security standards that Western nations now call too lax. One option is to screen travelers from developing countries more thoroughly at transit airports.

 Read Article

 

 
Unaddressed Turmoil in Swing States.

 

Swing states may be on the move

The voter sentiments that put Democrats on top in 2008 could turn against the party in November's midterm. Obama's proposals for healthcare, the economy and immigration could deepen divisions.

 

"Joseph Nichols, a 25-year-old Democrat from Henderson, said the healthcare debate "has been going on for quite a few months. And they need to stop and realize that Americans are losing houses and families because there are no jobs, no money, no nothing."

 Read Article

 

 

 
Comfort and discomfort with Christianity.

 

CAN YOU BELIEVE THIS GUY? Hume dissed Buddhism on "Fox News Sunday."
Brit Hume's off message: Have faith, Tiger Woods, as long is it's Christianity

By Tom Shales
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, January 5, 2010

In "North by Northwest," cold and heartless bureaucrats in Washington realize they may have inadvertently sent a frivolous but innocent advertising man to his death, and one of them says, "It's so horribly sad -- why do I feel like laughing?" The dichotomy pops up all the time among observers of media, politics and the personalities who inhabit those spheres, and it probably always will, largely because people in those lines of work are, to state it in the most innocuous way possible, full of surprises.

Brit Hume was certainly full of something on "Fox News Sunday" this week. Hume, a part-time analyst at Fox since stepping down from his daily anchor role, sought to redefine the job of political pundit, apparently, when he stepped boldly up to the task of telling people what religious beliefs they ought to have. He prescribed in particular a remedial, therapeutic dose of Christianity for disgraced golfing champ Tiger Woods, a man whose lubricious private life has been haunting the headlines for weeks.

Noting that Woods has referred to himself as a Buddhist, Hume knocked his fellow "Fox News" panelists for mortified loops when he dissed about half a billion Buddhists on the planet with the remark, "I don't think that faith offers the kind of forgiveness and redemption that is offered by the Christian faith."

It sounded a little like one of those Verizon vs. AT&T commercials -- our brand is better than your brand -- except that Hume was comparing two of the world's great religions, not a couple of greedy communications conglomerates. Further, is it really his job to run around trying to drum up new business? He doesn't really have the authority, does he, unless one believes that every Christian by mandate must proselytize?

Oh, but there was much more to it. Since Buddhism is so lacking in news-you-can-use, Hume continued -- sinking into his own mouth-made mire -- "My message to Tiger would be: Tiger, turn to the Christian faith and you can make a total recovery and be a great example to the world." Whom did he sound more like -- Mary Poppins on the joys of a tidy room, or Ron Popeil on the glories of some amazing potato peeler?

You could almost hear the gears of YouTube turning as he spoke, and imagine the writers on "Saturday Night Live" trying to find ways other than the painfully obvious to satirize the moment and what it represents.

The easiest mistake to make would be to associate Hume's off-the-cuff, off-the-wall remark with the pathology of Fox News, a cherished target of the left just as the left is a cherished target of certain Fox personalities. Some of us cling to our faith that there is no institutional bias at the network, and that the business of Fox, to paraphrase Calvin Coolidge, is business.

Darts of derision should be aimed at Hume, not at his employer or at Fox News as a social force. Before one gets too carried away with Brit-bashing, however, it's worth a Google or two to investigate the origins of Hume's seemingly newfound fervor. Is he really known far-and-wide for advocating religious fixes for scandals and furors? He did say, at the 2008 Republican convention, "I'm 65, for God's sake," but that was a mere aside, not a statement of policy.

Earlier, though, when it was still the 20th century, Hume discussed, in an interview, his spiritual epiphany and what motivated it. "I came to Christ in a way that was very meaningful to me," he said; it was in the aftermath of his son's death by suicide in 1998. It would be indefensibly insensitive to mock Hume for his beliefs, especially considering the way he came to them, but that still doesn't mean one must cheer him on as he tries to turn a bully pulpit into a pulpit, period.

In a way that many others had spoken of this particular faith, Hume seemed so bolstered by Christianity that he just had to go tell it on the mountain. And the golf course. And Fox news-talk shows.

Whatever his motivations, and however his statement regarding Woods reflected Hume's own emotional turmoil, the remark will probably rank, even only a few days into January, as one of the most ridiculous of the year. It tends at the least to banish any wayward hopes that the looniness of the Bawdy Aughties is over; we're not out of the woods, or the Woods, yet. Oh no, the madness will go on and on and on, at least until some sanctimonious busybody takes it upon himself to go even roguer than Hume.

If Hume's remark is going to turn out to be a mere starting point, where in the name of all that's holy (really holy, genuinely holy) is the finishing line going to find us? Or leave us?

Hume has a message for Woods; lots of people will have a message for Hume. First off, apologize. You gotta. Just say you are a man who is comfortable with his faith, so comfortable that sometimes he gets a wee bit carried away with it. If Hume wants to do the satellite-age equivalent of going door-to-door and spreading what he considers the gospel, he should do it on his own time, not try to cross-pollinate religion and journalism and use Fox facilities to do it.

At the same Republican convention where Hume bemoaned his advancing years, he spoke of knowing when to leave the party and go home. "I'd like to walk away while I'm still doing okay," he said, "and not have people say, 'He was fading.' " It's easy to understand the sentiment, but Hume ought to know that what people are saying right now is a whole lot worse than that he's fading.

 

 

 
End of journalism as we know it - now what?

 

End of journalism as we know it

How can we develop new media to produce nuanced discourse and solid recommendations for our politicians?

There's no doubt the two-centuries-old business model in which we journalists paid our way by scribbling on the back of adverts, collecting pence from citizens who wanted to read it, has collapsed. As journalists, we find that grim. But, as citizens, we sometimes seem to like the idea that journalism is in trouble. We are liberated from the dictates of a trade that's spent the last two decades retreating from servicing our basic civic needs, systematically shredding its right to mediate our public discourse, losing our trust as fast as it loses our attention.

But here's something to think about. Are we sure that a public sphere in which the proportion of our civic discourse hosted by traditional journalism falls and that hosted on a demotic, disaggregated web will support our acts of citizenship better?

A few years ago, people like myself who were at the heart of journalism "as we know it" were reading the signs, and writers like Dan Gillmor, with something like resignation. Gillmor considered that "the 'former audience' has turned its endless ideas into such unexpected, and in some cases superb, forms of journalism". He went on: "The net should be the ally of thought and nuance, not a booster shot for knee-jerk reaction."

As editor – between 2002 and 2006 – of the BBC Radio 4 Today programme, I noticed our audience's growing desire to turn the relationship from a one-to-many lecture into, in part at least, a conversation.

Two features in particular stood out: one was the extraordinary number of well-argued emails, something like 50,000 a year, which arrived at the programme. The other was the popularity of the Today website message board: listeners had begun more than 18,000 threads in five years.

The question was not whether we should attend to these voices. It was how. There were plenty of helpful suggestions in texts such as Chris Willis and Shayne Bowman's We Media and Gillmor's We the Media. These and similar texts became scary samizdat in BBC newsrooms while, inside the BBC, a handful of influential figures, including Richard Sambrook, then Director of News, urged change. But no one was clear what would happen if we were to convene citizen listeners in large numbers to use the power of Today to actually change things.

So that's what we decided to test. Between 2003 and 2006, we launched experiments including "Guest Editors", listeners' reports, listener-led interviews and mining emails and the message board for expertise.

Two experiments in particular stood out. The first, a poll called "Listeners' Law", replaced the traditional "Man and Woman of the Year" poll over Christmas and New Year 2003. We invited listeners to submit their suggestions for a new law they'd like to introduce. Listeners sent some 10,000 ideas. Twenty-six thousand listeners voted, almost 40% of them for the winner, the homeowner's "defence by any means" law.

In the event, the controversial proposal fell to parliamentary procedure – it proved almost impossible to draft a watertight bill and absolutely impossible to produce one that could command a majority of legislators. Yet later in 2004 a Conservative member of the House of Commons introduced an almost identical bill while at the same time denouncing the efforts of "Listeners' Law".

It was a powerful illustration that, for some legislators and journalists, the boundary between civic discourse and political action "allowed" citizens to debate, discuss and campaign but not take the demands into the legislative chamber itself.

The later experiment, in 2005, took on a different civic challenge: could journalism in the form of Today become the "ally of thought and nuance" (Gillmor's term)? The assembly of a citizens' jury was billed as "an experiment to find out if citizens can solve the problems that politicians can't". The jury comprised 24 residents from Reading who reflected their community's demographics. Their task was to deliberate on the respect agenda ahead of a government White Paper.

There was no undertaking that the juries' views and solutions would be implemented but local politicians and the government minister responsible had agreed to meet the jury to discuss their findings. The jury's weekly deliberations were reported on air and on the Today website. In the event, the jury produced more than a dozen nuanced recommendations on which local and national politicians could act.

Both experiments had flaws. But they told us much about employing the power of journalism "as we know it" to offer citizens a richer discourse that has a real potential to solve problems. They raised, without answering, the two most difficult questions: how, if not by a form of journalism that demands power's attention, can we give our discourse as citizens the potential to change things? And how can we scale rich, nuanced civic discourse to produce meaningful outcomes on which we can all act?

There is no debate that journalism "as we know it" is over – financially, civically, existentially. Yet with all its failings, it proved a good fit mostly because it did what we citizens couldn't do or didn't want to do – not every day, anyway: routinely keeping a presence in our civic lives and in power's face.

We citizens shouldn't assume we can create such a fit with new forms of journalism on the web … except where journalism "as we know it" adapts itself to the web or the web to it. It will take time to re-draw some of the boundaries, as our experiments on Today showed. But in that re-drawing, elements of journalism "as we know it" are the sine qua non. Without it, web journalism – as in millions of self-published citizens – is little more than background radiation of our civic universe.

• This is an extract from a fuller account published in Sean Tunney and Garrett Monaghan (eds), Web Journalism: A New Form of Citizenship?

 

 

 
Strange story about WashPost.

 

Hard times at the Washington Post

The once proud Washington Post gets into bed with a right-wing billionaire and fills its news pages with his agenda

The Washington Post is a newspaper with a proud legacy. It has done much important reporting over the years, most famously its coverage of the Watergate scandal that resulted in the resignation of Richard Nixon. Unfortunately, it seems to have abandoned its journalistic standards. In its last issue of the decade, it published as a news piece an article by the Peter Peterson Foundation-funded Fiscal Times. This compromised the Post's journalistic integrity to the extent that readers can no longer take it seriously.

Peter Peterson is a Wall Street billionaire and former Nixon administration cabinet member who has been trying to gut social security payments and Medicare for at least the last quarter of a century. He has written several books that warn of a demographic disaster when the baby boomers retire. These books often include nonsense arguments to make his case. For example, in one of the books making his pitch for cutting social security as matter of generational equity, Peterson proposes reducing the annual cost of living adjustment. Peterson justified this cut by arguing that the price index overstated the true rate of inflation, therefore the annual cost of living adjustment was overcompensating retirees.

The problem with Peterson's logic is that if the price index really overstated inflation, then the country has been getting wealthier much faster than the standard data show. This means that the young people who he was so worried about would be far richer than anyone could have imagined. It would also mean that the most of the retirees whose benefits he wanted to cut grew up in poverty.

These conclusions logically followed from Peterson's claim that the price index overstated inflation. But Peterson didn't care about the logic, he wanted to cut social security and he was prepared to say anything to advance this agenda.

Of course, what Peterson says matters because he uses his billions to make sure that his voice gets heard. In the case of his books, he would take out full-page ads in major newspapers to ensure that these otherwise very forgettable tracts got taken seriously.

And he started organisations. First, he had the Concord Coalition ("a nationwide, non-partisan, grassroots organisation advocating generationally responsible fiscal policy") and, more recently, the Peter G Peterson Foundation, and now its offspring, the Fiscal Times. Interestingly, the Fiscal Times' debut piece in the Post managed to reference both of Peterson's earlier creations.

The piece also included the standard and inaccurate Peterson refrain about "skyrocketing spending on Medicare, Medicaid and social security." Spending on social security is not "skyrocketing" in the normal usage of the term. Measured as a share of national income it will increase by less than 40% over the next two decades, an increase that is fully funded by the designated Social Security tax.

While spending on Medicare and Medicaid is increasing rapidly, this is primarily the result of exploding private sector healthcare costs. As every serious budget analysts knows, private sector healthcare costs have been growing at a rate that threatens to devastate the economy. If the private healthcare sector is not fixed, we face an economic disaster regardless of what happens with Medicare and Medicaid. If it is fixed, then the problems facing the public sector programmes will be manageable.

This is not the first time that the Washington Post has been prepared to compromise its integrity to rescue its finances. Last year the Post's top management planned a series of dinners, billed as "salons", where they had intended to sell lobbyists the opportunity to meet with the Washington Post's reporters in an informal setting. This plan was nixed after it was leaked and the idea developed into a scandal.

While selling access to reporters is a certainly a high crime for a serious newspaper, handing over a portion of the news section to an advocacy group is arguably a worse sin. The Fiscal Times piece was indistinguishable in its appearance from any other news story in the Washington Post. Only those careful to read the byline or the note at the bottom of the page would realize that the article was not a regular news story. Nowhere is the Fiscal Times identified as being affiliated with, and funded by, the Peter Peterson Foundation.

If the Fiscal Times becomes a regular source of news articles at the Post, we can probably soon expect to see pieces from National Rifle Association's Shooting Illustrated. It is unfortunate that technological change may have made the traditional newspaper economically unviable – but it would have been better if the Washington Post could have had a dignified death.

 

 

 

 
Six trucks of explosives 'disappear' in Yemen

 

Six trucks of explosives 'disappear' in Yemen

Fears of a terrorist strike against Western embassies in Yemen have grown amid claims a convoy of lorries laden with explosives had been smuggled into the country's capital city, Sana'a.

Yemeni soldier standing guard in old Sanaa: Yemen: army kills al-Qaeda militants who threatened US embassy

 

 

In an apparently botched surveillance operation, militants driving six trucks filled with weapons and ordnance succeeded in giving security forces the slip as they entered the city, according to local media.

The revelations came as western diplomatic missions in Sana'a went into lockdown following threats from al-Qaeda's Yemeni affiliate, which has taken responsibility for a failed attempt to blow up an airliner over Detroit on Christmas Day.

Both the British and American embassies, considered the most high-profile targets in the city, remained closed for a second day. France and the Czech Republic also shut their embassies, while Spain, Germany and Japan announced restrictions on public access to their missions.

The identity of those who smuggled the weapons contingent into Sana'a has not been disclosed, and it is unclear if its disappearance is linked to al-Qaeda's increasingly powerful Yemeni branch, al-Qaeda in the Arab Peninsula (AQAP)

Although AQAP released a statement on Sunday urging its followers to kill all Western diplomats on the Arab Peninsula, western officials have declined to divulge whether or not threats of a specific nature have been made.

Diplomats dismissed speculation that the vanishing convoy could presage an imminent attack on Western interests in the city.

"These reports have nothing to do with the reason embassies were shut," one said.

John Brennan, President Barack Obama's counter-terrorism adviser, has spoken of "indications" that al-Qaeda was planning an attack on a Western target in Sana'a, possibly the US embassy, which was twice attacked in 2008, killing 19.

It is not the first time that lorries carrying arms have disappeared in Yemen, and sources suggested that the weapons may well have been bound for tribal rebels in the North. The insurgents, who are Shia, are regarded as apostates by al-Qaeda, although some observers say there may be a limited alliance of convenience between the two.

But the disappearance of so large a shipment of explosives will only enhance the febrile atmosphere in Sana'a and raise fresh concerns about Yemen's competence in dealing with the al-Qaeda threat.

A combination of corruption, instability, poverty and lawlessness has helped turn Yemen into fertile breeding ground for al-Qaeda. Amid warnings that the country could soon emerge as a "new Afghanistan", Gordon Brown this weekend gave warning that Yemen was becoming a "failing state."

Keen to demonstrate its commitment to fighting terror, the Yemeni government said its forces had killed two suspected al-Qaeda members in an operation in the mountainous Arhab region, 25 miles north of the capital.

The raid happened close to the scene of government air strikes on Dec 17 that killed three members of an AQAP cell who were allegedly plotting to blow up the British embassy in Sana'a.

The main target of Monday's attack, identified as Mohammed Ahmed al-Hanaq, managed to escape.

Observers in Sana'a described Mr Hanaq as a tribal chief who has only loose connections to al-Qaeda.

AQAP has managed to establish a foothold in several parts of Yemen largely be paying tribute to local tribes who complain they have been marginalised and impoverished by the Yemeni government.

 

 

 

 
NewYorker: Signaling Terrorists

 

Signaling Terrorists

 

Posted by Steve Coll

 

Since the failed bombing attempt against Northwest Airlines Flight 253 on Christmas, the Obama Administration’s public rhetoric has slid from its immortal opening error—“the system worked”—back toward the American mainstream of signaling toward terrorists. Since the Reagan Administration, this has generally involved public resolve and threats of retaliation, to reassure Americans that their government is on the case and to warn terrorists that they inevitably will face death or capture if they plot against the United States. On Saturday, Obama spoke to Americans and presumably also to Al Qaeda recruits in Yemen when he threatened, “All those involved in the attempted act of terrorism on Christmas must know: You too will be held to account.”

The language caught my ear because over the holiday break I have been reading an excellent academic study of American strategic communication toward Al Qaeda, “U.S. Counter-Terrorism Strategy and al-Qaeda: Signaling and the Terrorist World-View,” by Joshua Alexander Geltzer, who is now a law student at Yale, after earning a doctoral degree in war studies at King’s College, London, under the tutelage of James Gow, one of the better academic security analysts of his generation. Warning: The book is very expensive; probably best for those who can charge it to the office somehow.

The purpose of Geltzer’s study is to analyze American communication with Al Qaeda, by deed and word, particularly since 9/11, and to explore the degree to which American signaling to terrorists has been self-conscious; what the hypotheses behind this communication strategy seem to be; how the strategy has conceptualized the intended terrorist audience; and, of course, whether it has been effective. (I don’t think I’m giving away the ending by reporting that the author’s conclusion is … um, no.)

Geltzer not only reviewed the public record—speeches by Presidents Clinton and Bush, and by other key actors such as former Vice-President Cheney—but he also conducted a number of on-the-record interviews with intelligence officials and counterterrorism policymakers from both the Clinton and Bush Administrations. Among other things, he has produced a fascinating and chilling thread of narrative history of the Iraq war’s casus belli. He documents richly the consensus among Bush Administration decision-makers, outside of a few realists such as Richard Armitage, that among other purposes, it was necessary to invade Iraq in order to send a general deterrent signal to all terrorists in the Middle East. Geltzer quotes Henry Kissinger’s rationale for advising Bush to carry out the Iraq invasion: “We had to go in there … to make clear that challenging the United States had disastrous consequences…. Afghanistan was not enough to make that point.”

To a great extent, Geltzer argues, the Bush Administration fashioned its terrorist signaling strategy in reaction to what Cheney, in particular, considered to be the “provocative weakness” of Clinton Administration signaling; that is, Cheney and others of like mind truly believed that the United States had meaningfully invited 9/11 by failing to respond more forcefully to the 1998 Al Qaeda attacks against U.S. embassies in Africa and the 2000 bombing of the U.S.S. Cole in Yemen. (Al Qaeda’s rhetoric does take note of the American withdrawal from Lebanon during the nineteen-eighties, ordered by President Reagan, and America’s retreat from Somalia, ordered by President Clinton.) At the same time, however, Bush Administration signaling contained much continuity from Clinton-era signaling, Geltzer shows. In this combination of change and continuity, he finds that the Bush Administration’s “basic framework for counter-terrorist signaling” involved ten elements:

taking action, signaling a change, using force, demonstrating capability, showing resolve, exhibiting relentlessness, intimidating state sponsors, promoting democracy, visibly hardening defenses and showing success.

Geltzer notes that it is “worth considering” what sort of audience would have been most responsive to the Bush Administration’s approach:

Such an audience would have been deterred or dissuaded by an active America, and intimidated by a changed America. That audience would have been eager to avoid America’s use of military force, and would have been impressed by America’s demonstration of its massive capability. Resolve on America’s part would have suggested to that audience that opposing the U.S.A. was bound to prove futile, and relentlessness on America’s part would have led that audience to seek any way to avoid America’s fury. America’s focus on state sponsors suggest that the audience would have possessed a state-centric perspective, and America’s efforts to promote democracy imply an audience characterized by a democratic vision of government…

What type of audience do these characteristics describe?….The audience would have been, or resembled, a state… [and even more so] the U.S.A. itself. That is, the audience that appears to have been in the minds of American policymakers as they crafted their counter-terrorist signals was one akin to America as audience.

This is a rhetorical tour de force. Perhaps it’s also a little too neat to be completely convincing. Terrorists do interact with states, including Al Qaeda terrorists. Terrorists can be deterred and intimidated. Al Qaeda operatives have certainly changed their decision-making at times because of the hardened defenses they confront, notwithstanding their repeated return to civil aviation, even as that task gets harder. But as a breath-catching take on the problem of unexamined, ineffective, domestic-driven American signaling to terrorists, whether of the nascent Obama or entrenched Cheney type, Geltzer’s work is very impressive.

Obama is obviously a gifted communicator; he is also said to be an enthusiastic poker player. Surely we have a President who is qualified to think through more productively than his predecessors the conundrums of his own signaling, intended and unintended, to the terrorists whose actions will do much to shape his Presidency.


 
 
Secret Service investigating Obama effigy.

 

Secret Service investigating effigy of President Obama found hanging in Jimmy Carter's hometown

Footage from WALB-TV shows the doll was hanging by a noose in front of a red, white and blue sign.

 

 Read Article

 

 

 

 
U.S. swapped militant cleric for Brit hostage.

 

 

Peter Moore: family of dead hostage criticise 'deal with terrorists'

The family of Jason Swindlehurst, one of the men killed after being taken hostage in Iraq with Peter Moore, have criticised the US government for allegedly doing a deal with terrorists.

Mr Swindlehurst, 38, from Skelmersdale, Lancs, was taken hostage along with Mr Moore, Alec MacLachlan, Jason Creswell and Alan McMenemy by militants posing as police at the Iraqi finance in May 2007.

Mr Moore was released unharmed on December 30, but the bodies of Mr Swindlehurst, along with Mr MacLachlan and Mr Creswell, were passed to the British authorities last year.

Speaking to ITV news, Mr Swindlehurst's father Russell Swindlehurst, said: "Even though it's happened to us, I still believe that you should not negotiate with terrorists, even though it's cost my son his life."

Russell criticised the alleged deal the US government did with the group of kidnappers, after speculation that Mr Moore was released because Qais al-Khazali, a militant cleric, was freed from prison in Iraq.

"We've very very glad that Peter's back home safe and sound but if the only reason that he was released was because the Americans released whoever it is then why couldn't they have done it two years ago when we might have had five lads come back as opposed to one?", he said.

The Foreign Office has vehemently denied suggestions of a prisoner exchange deal, although even Mr Moore's father Graeme Moore believes a deal was done between American agents and the kidnappers.

The release of al-Khazali has prompted speculation that the body of Mr McMenemy, the only hostage still held by the group, is to be released to Iraqi authorities. The Foreign Office believes that Mr McMenemy has been killed, despite reports suggesting he may still be alive.

Mr Moore, a 36-year-old computer expert, was released last Wednesday after 31 months and returned to Britain two days later. It has been widely reported that Mr Moore and the four other men were taken over the border into Iran following their kidnap, although Gordon Brown has insisted there was no "direct evidence" this was the case.

 

 

 

 
CIA suicide bomber was Jordanian M.D.

 

 

Former official confirms CIA bomber was Jordanian

Monday, January 4, 2010

— A former senior intelligence official is confirming that the suicide bomber who killed eight people inside a CIA base in Afghanistan was a Jordanian doctor recruited by Jordanian intelligence to support U.S. efforts against al-Qaida.

The bombing killed seven CIA employees - four officers and three contracted security guards - and a Jordanian intelligence officer, Ali bin Zaid, according to a second former U.S. intelligence official. Both spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to talk to the press.

The former senior intelligence official confirmed an NBC News report Monday that the bomber was Humam Khalil Abu-Mulal al-Balawi, a 36-year old doctor from Zarqa, Jordan. He was arrested over a year ago by Jordanian intelligence, and was thought to have been flipped to support U.S. and Jordanian efforts against al-Qaida.

 

 

 
Lupica: Cheney's rants

 

Lupica: Cheney's rants vs. Obama politicize war on terror

Lupica: Cheney's rants vs. Obama politicize war on terror

Dick Cheney looks at a near tragedy on Christmas and sees opportunity. He doesn't just sound like some old crank in the park. He sounds like a bum.



Read more

 

 

 

 
Test Run at Newark?

 

Security guard faces serious discipline after mystery trespasser shuts down Newark Airport

Monday, January 4th 2010, 1:08 PM

 

Guards walk by a security checkpoint at Newark International Airport. The airport was forced to evacuate an entire terminal after a man wandered into a secure area.
Rainey/The Star-Ledger
Guards walk by a security checkpoint at Newark International Airport. The airport was forced to evacuate an entire terminal after a man wandered into a secure area.
An airport security guard is facing serious discipline after he let a mystery man man saunter into a supposedly secure passenger area at Newark Airport, delaying flights for hours.

The unnamed Transportation Security Administration guard apparently failed to see the man enter the secure exit-way at the airport's bustling Terminal C around 5:30 p.m. Sunday, agency officials said.

All that's known - based on a review of security video - is that the wrong-way walker left the terminal through another exit about 20 minutes after he entered, TSA spokeswoman Ann Davis told The Daily News on Monday.

She added that it's no longer a question of whether the sleepy-eyed guard will be disciplined. "It's more at what level of discipline," Davis told The News.

TSA officials said the agency only learned of the breach after a sharp-eyed bystander - who was waiting in the exit area to pick up a passenger - noticed the man walk into the secure area.

Agency officials quickly confirmed the breach by looking at security video. Other video appears to show the same man leaving the terminal through another exit as quietly as he entered, although it took until about 7:45 p.m. on Sunday to put those pieces together.

The man - who appears on the video to be of Asian descent - remains unidentified, officials said.

Security officials quickly evacuated the terminal on Sunday and re-screened several thousand passengers already cleared for take-off. A search of the terminal, which is used mostly by Continental Airlines, turned up nothing suspicious.

The security measures delayed hundreds of flights, causing back-ups that airline officials were still working to clear Monday morning.

"We are doing a good job catching up," said Continental spokeswoman Julie King.

The security snafu comes as the TSA has announced that passengers flying to the U.S. from nations regarded as state sponsors of terrorism and countries of interest would be subject to enhanced screening.



 

 

 
Civil rights hero going to Jail.

 

Civil rights hero caught in corruption probe to begin serving sentence

By Wayne Drash, CNN
January 4, 2010 9:56 a.m. EST
Bobby DeLaughter won fame as the prosecutor in the Medgar Evers case,  but later was convicted of obstruction of justice.
"The man has now been destroyed, politically and economically."

 
 
China - handle with care

 

China - handle with care

The emotional condemnation that followed the execution of Akmal Shaikh is exactly the wrong way to deal with the world's next superpower, says Malcolm Moore in Shanghai.

Getty East meets West: Barack Obama and Wen Jiabao in Beijing last November CHINA ? HANDLE WITH CARE
East meets West: Barack Obama and Wen Jiabao in Beijing last November Photo: Getty

The reaction to Akmal Shaikh’s execution by the British government has been a fiasco that must have made diplomats in Beijing and Shanghai wince. From a British perspective, the outrage over Mr Shaikh’s execution may have seemed justified. China must improve its human-rights record if it wants to be a responsible player on the world stage. Executing a 53-year-old man of questionable sanity and burying him in an unmarked grave in a remote and icy cemetery in Urumqi appears unjust in our eyes. Bluntly ignoring Gordon Brown’s entreaties makes China seem cold and defiant.

But from a Chinese point of view, there was little to be done. A personality disorder or paranoia do not qualify as mental illness in the eyes of the court. And Britons in China must be subject to Chinese law.

The fact that Mr Shaikh was the first European to be executed in China for half a century shows that, until now, China has often allowed foreigners to remain outside the law as it sought to curry favour with more powerful nations. But no longer.

“Today, when the British drug dealer violated the law on our land, we can openly and rightfully punish him without any mercy. We don’t need to follow the orders of others any more,” remarked one commenter on a Chinese web forum.

It may be 170 years since Britain subjected China to colonial humiliation during the Opium wars, but the memory of red-faced foreigners banging their fists on tables and telling the Chinese what to do is still keenly felt. Despite its apparent strength, the country remains incredibly sensitive to the way it is treated by foreign governments.

As it takes the rotating presidency of the United Nations Security Council this month, it is easy to forget that the country was a global pariah just two decades ago. After the massacre at Tiananmen Square, foreign governments cut off diplomatic ties with Beijing, imposed sanctions and snuffed out the early flickerings of the attempt to rejoin the world after decades of Maoist isolation.

Under Deng Xiaoping’s leadership, China had been opening up. The country’s unspoken support for the US had spurred the collapse of the Soviet Union. “China and the US had been sharing both geopolitical and military secrets,” recalls Gao Zhikai, Deng’s former translator. “Because of that co-operation, China was following a US line.” The US had even been selling China weapons, both Sikorsky helicopters and guidance systems for jet aircraft.

The events of 1989, however, turned China into a new target for the US as it searched for an ideological enemy in the post Cold War era, even if, in practice, Chinese communism was a world away from Soviet Marxism.

“Until the September 11 attacks in 2001, it was a very sensitive, difficult and uncertain time for China,” said Mr Gao. “There was no eagerness to rebuild a relationship or treat China as a partner, and there were no summit meetings until Jiang Zemin met Bill Clinton in Seattle in 1993.” After 2001, of course, the US found a new ideological enemy in Islamic terrorism, and China was a willing partner in the fight.

The Chinese public, for its part, hardened against the West after the Chinese embassy in Belgrade was bombed by Nato planes in 1999. A skilful propaganda campaign convinced the population that the West was up to its old tricks and seeking to contain the rise of a potential new superpower.

The Chinese leadership genuinely believes this. Hu Jintao, the Chinese president, has warned that the US has strengthened its relationships with Vietnam, India and Taiwan in order to “put pressure points on us from the east, south and west”. More Chinese outrage followed at the protests against the Olympic torch in Paris. The sabotage was seen as a deliberate attempt to ruin China’s big moment, the Beijing Olympics.

Regular bouts of hectoring from the US and the UK over human-rights abuses, the irresponsibility of China’s position at Copenhagen, or the execution of Akmal Shaikh have merely confirmed the suspicion that the West believes it can boss China around.

China is now well placed to be the world’s next superpower. Its admission to the World Trade Organisation in 2000 launched a decade of frantic trading that has seen its gross domestic product rise from below that of Spain and Italy to overtake Japan’s, making it the world’s second-largest economy. By 2027, according to Goldman Sachs, it will overtake the US and become the largest.

More than 250 million people have been lifted out of poverty in just three decades and a sprawling middle class has emerged. China is the world’s largest car market, and rich Chinese bought £6 billion of luxury goods this year, a 12 per cent rise as the rest of the world slumped. One of last year’s biggest catchphrases was: “Money is not a problem,” mocking the country’s vulgar nouveau riche for flaunting their wealth.

The financial crisis revealed that the US is in hock to the Chinese government to the tune of $1.7 trillion dollars. The new global order was cast in clear relief when Barack Obama visited Beijing in November to ask if China, as one of America’s largest trading partners, would revalue its currency to make the terms of trade more equitable. He got nothing in response.

While the West has been crippled by the financial crisis, China has hardly been touched. Its banks were already nationalised, and were quickly ordered to lend money. The resulting wave of cash boosted confidence in the economy and helped to generate growth of around nine per cent in 2009. By contrast, living standards in the UK retreated to pre-2005 levels.

China has grown so rapidly that its leaders have been pushed to the front of the world stage without much experience of international diplomacy. “Within the four corners of its country, China is a world in itself,” said Mr Gao. “It has a history of being introverted. Just look at the position of the foreign minister. He is not a member of the [ruling] politburo. There are two or three dozen officials more senior than him,” he added. Among the top leaders, only Li Keqiang and Li Yuanchao can speak English.

For the past 30 years, Chinese leaders have been following Deng Xiaoping’s strategy of tao guang yang hui, a cautiousness that is best translated as the opposite of chutzpah. They have not sought the limelight, listening more than speaking and to trying to be humble.

Now they have been thrust into the spotlight, China’s leaders are going about the job in a workmanlike fashion. Unlike their predecessors, the current generation does not make grand geopolitical gestures. When they travel abroad, it is strictly business.

Africa, South America and the developing world have discovered that China is a dependable, predictable and responsible partner, as long as its “hot buttons” of Tibet, Taiwan and human rights are not pushed. China is unlikely ever to cement a “Group of Two” arrangement with the US, as some have speculated. There will be no G2 because China fears alienating its smaller partners.

The lack of understanding on both sides is immense. This year, for example, only seven Chinese novels were published in English in the US, a sign of how little appetite there is to learn about China and its culture. As a result, patronising stereotypes still hold sway.

In turn, few Chinese, know anything about Britain beyond its colonial history and its industrial revolution. To seize the opportunity of becoming a trusted partner of China, Britain must not be seen as a bullying or ignorant power. What is needed is a genuine understanding of how Beijing works, a desire to do business, and a tone that emphasises that, while we may not agree with all its policies, we still respect the country.

 

 

 
Al-Qaeda ‘groomed Abdulmutallab in London’

 

Al-Qaeda ‘groomed Abdulmutallab in London’

The Christmas Day airline bomb plot suspect organised a conference under the banner “War on Terror Week” as he immersed himself in radical politics while a student in London, The Times has learnt.

Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, 23, a former president of the Islamic Society at University College London, advertised speakers including political figures, human rights lawyers and former Guantánamo detainees.

One lecture, Jihad v Terrorism, was billed as “a lecture on the Islamic position with respect to jihad”.

Security sources are concerned that the picture emerging of his undergraduate years suggests that he was recruited by al-Qaeda in London. Security sources said that Islamist radicalisation was rife on university campuses, especially in London, and that college authorities had “a patchy record in facing up to the problem”. Previous anti-terrorist inquiries have uncovered evidence of extremists using political meetings and religious study circles to identify potential recruits.

It emerged last night that Mr Abdulmutallab featured on the periphery of one counterterrorism intelligence operation in Britain. US intelligence authorities are also looking at conversations between him and at least one al-Qaeda member.

The event he organised took place in January 2007 and included talks on Guantánamo Bay, the alleged torture of prisoners and the War on Terror.

He is the fourth president of a London student Islamic society to face terrorist charges in three years. One is facing a retrial on charges that he was involved in the 2006 liquid bomb plot to blow up airliners. Two others have been convicted of terrorist offences since 2007.

Mr Abdulmutallab left UCL last year. The Times has learnt that his attempt to renew his student visa in May this year was based on an application to study “life coaching” at a non-existent college. That visa refusal may have saved Britain from an attack. His terrorist training took a new turn in August when he moved to Yemen, ostensibly to study Arabic, and was schooled by al-Qaeda there.

Yesterday, the US put on display the underwear he wore on Northwest Airlines Flight 253 on Christmas Day. Explosives had been sewn into them. As the plane approached Detroit the material ignited, shooting 6ft flames up the cabin wall. Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, which has claimed the attack, said that the device failed because of a “faulty detonator”.

Abu Bakr al-Qirbi, the Yemeni Foreign Minister, appealed for help to train and equip counter-terrorist forces. He said: “Of course there are a number of al-Qaeda operatives in Yemen and some of their leaders. They may actually plan attacks like the one we have just had in Detroit. There are maybe hundreds of them — 200, 300.”

President Obama said that it was “totally unacceptable” that US agencies had not prevented the attack with the information available and demanded preliminary results from two security reviews by tomorrow. He is facing criticism for leaving two key federal security agencies without leaders 11 months into his administration.

Dutch authorities dismissed claims that Mr Abdulmutallab boarded the flight in Amsterdam without a passport. A spokesman for its counter-terrorism office said: “He had a passport and a valid visa for the United States and KLM had clearance on the passenger list to carry him to the US.”

 

 

 

 
In Yemen, buy them rather than kill.

 

 

'Orchard of fighters' grows out of poverty and mistrust in Yemen

A new and more extreme generation of al-Qaeda has arisen in Yemen in the past three years, overstepping the traditional constraints that allowed for an uneasy truce with the Yemeni Government, on which it has declared all-out war, experts warned yesterday.

They said that a military approach to tackling the crisis would only exacerbate the problem, radicalising tribes who were already sympathetic to the Islamists while failing to address key civil grievances such as massive underdevelopment, poverty and unequal distribution of key resources, in particular oil.

“A Western intervention, in particular a US intervention, will provoke a backlash” among normal Yemenis, a conservative and poorly educated population distrustful of what they considered to be an aggressive West, Saeed al-Jemhi, the author of AlQaeda in Yemen, said. “This can only work in al-Qaeda’s favour.”

Another analyst, who asked not to be named, said: “It’s like a wasp’s nest if you hit it with a stick.”

Both said that al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula was composed mainly of Yemeni fighters who had experience of the US intervention in Iraq, where they fought under the Jordanian leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

He was so brutal — killing thousands of Shias in suicide bombings to provoke the civil war that almost destroyed Iraq — that even Osama bin Laden’s deputy, Ayman alZawahiri, urged him to rein in his bloody onslaught. Al-Zarqawi was killed by a US airstrike in 2006.

The latest group of terrorists has torn up a fragile détente with Ali Abdullah Saleh, the Yemeni President, and is trying to destroy the fabric of governance.

Their predecessors, the al-Qaeda Mujahidin who fought with bin Laden in Afghanistan, returned to Yemen as heroes, and although they plotted attacks on foreign targets they did not go after the Yemeni authorities, who kept them under watch but allowed them to remain at liberty.

The newest group, however, has carried out numerous attacks inside the country, including on security forces, and declared the President a heretic — tantamount to a death sentence.

Yemen has always been a recruiting ground for al-Qaeda. Many of the first generation were young Yemeni men who travelled to Saudi Arabia for work and encountered the harsher Islamic ideology of Wahhabism espoused by Saudis.

President Saleh used the Islamist card in quelling rebellion in the former Marxist south in the civil war in the mid-1990s, which some analysts said partly explained his reluctance to confront al-Qaeda until he was forced to — by Western pressure and the new brand of extremism preached by the terrorists.

The new group emerged after a prison break in Yemen in 2006 in which 23 top al-Qaeda members escaped from a high-security jail and started regrouping. Among them were leaders of the new formation, Nasser al-Wahishi, a former secretary to bin Laden, and Said Ali al-Shehri, a Saudi who was in Guantánamo for years before being released to a Saudi rehabilitation programme.

They based themselves in the mountains and deserts of eastern Yemen, which resembles Afghanistan and where the writ of the Government has never extended. Many recruits were Yemeni, some of them tribal leaders who persuaded their people to offer refuge to the fighters and join them.

“Al-Qaeda has become a banner for frustrated people,” one Yemeni analyst said.

Most agreed that military operations, while necessary to remove terrorist leaders, were not the way to tackle the problem. Poor areas needed development to take away the incentive to join the terrorists.

The US learnt late in the day in Iraq that dealing with tribal leaders, in effect buying them off and offering jobs, was far more effective than fighting them.

The Government will also need to ensure the continuing loyalty of the Salafist sect, a hardline religious grouping with an almost identical ideology to al-Qaeda. Salafist leaders have so far rejected al-Qaeda but Mr al-Jemhi said that they were like an “orchard from which al-Qaeda will pick its fruits. Ninety-five per cent of them are ideologically ready for jihad. AlQaeda takes advantage of this to recruit them.”

Analysts said that no influential religious leaders had been persuaded to speak out against al-Qaeda. Experts also emphasised the need for military operations to have a Yemeni face to avoid giving the impression that the US was repeating its armed interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq.

The Pentagon said yesterday that no troops were scheduled to be sent to Yemen, although special forces have been training anti-terrorism forces there for at least two months.

The Yemeni Government faces many challenges. It is fighting a Shia Houthi rebellion in the north, which has taken most of its attention in recent years, and a secessionist movement in the oil-rich south.

This has taken place against the backdrop of the failed Somali state across the Gulf of Aden. The al-Qaeda-affiliated Somali militia, known as al-Shabaab, has pledged to send hundreds of fighters to Yemen to counter the US and British involvement.

The Somali Government this week accused the Shia rebels in the north of Yemen — believed by Sanaa to be receiving aid from Iran — of sending weapons to al-Shabaab despite the ideological gulf between the Shia and hardline Sunni groups.

 

 

 

 
UK had alerted US to bomb suspect

 

January 4, 2010

UK had alerted US to bomb suspect

By Joe Churcher, Press Association

UK intelligence that the Detroit plane bomb suspect tried to contact radical Islamists while a student in London was passed on to the US, Downing Street said today.

The name of Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was included in a dossier of people believed to have made attempts to deal with known extremists that was shared with American intelligence.

But he was not singled out as a particular risk, Gordon Brown's spokesman said, insisting that Abdulmutallab was not radicalised until after he left the UK in October 2008.

US President Barack Obama has criticised US intelligence agencies for failing to piece together information about the 23-year-old Nigerian that should have stopped him boarding the flight.

Abdulmutallab allegedly attempted to ignite explosives stored in his underwear as Northwest Airlines Flight 253 from Amsterdam, carrying 280 passengers, made its final descent to Detroit.

He has reportedly told FBI investigators he was supplied with the bomb in Yemen and the UK and US authorities have announced stepped-up efforts to counter the al Qaida threat from that country.

The Sunday Times yesterday reported that counter-terrorism officials knew Abdulmutallab had "multiple communications" with Islamic extremists in Britain while a student between 2006 and 2008.

It said officials were aware of repeated contacts with MI5 targets who were under surveillance but that the information had not been shared at the time.

However the Prime Minister's spokesman said: "Clearly there was security information about this individual's activities and that was information that was shared with the US authorities.

"That is the key point."

He went on: "We are pretty certain that he was radicalised outside the UK. He left the UK in October 2008. But it is also clear that whilst he was here he was attempting to make contact with people and that is the intelligence we were able to secure from the intelligence services.

"One of the lessons that clearly comes out of what could have been a terrible tragedy was the whole question about how we continue to share intelligence about individuals."

Abdulmutallab was barred from re-entering the UK after his spell as a student because he applied for a bogus course not because he was on any list of potential threats.

The spokesman defended the decision not to single out the Nigerian as a risk.

"There are a number of individuals who try and reach out to radicals and others," he said, suggesting many of them were simply doing so out of curiosity and did not pose a threat.

"It does not necessarily mean they are going to be planning any specific action. Whatever he decided to do, he decided to do whilst he was out of the country."

 

 

 

 
Jordan emerges as key CIA counterterrorism ally

 

Jordan emerges as key CIA counterterrorism ally

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Read Article

 

 

 
Alabama Democrat Casts His Lot With G.O.P.

 

 Alabama Democrat Casts His Lot With G.O.P.

 

Jamie Martin for The New York Times

Many of those who meet mornings at Church's Chicken in Andalusia, Ala., don't like Barack Obama but are fond of Bobby Bright.

 

"Among the men who gather every morning at 6 o’clock at the Church’s Chicken here on Three Notch Street, there is general agreement that the Obama administration is doing a very bad job of running the country. And the stakes are as high, as one coffee drinker put it, as the survival of the country’s culture, economy and way of life."

 

 Reade Article

 

 

 
NYT Mag: Inside Obama’s War on Terrorism

 

President Barack Obama with John Brennan, his counterterrorism adviser, in the Oval Office in May.
Pete Souza/The White House
Magazine Preview

Inside Obama’s War on Terrorism

Recent threats have put more focus on the battles President Obama, pictured with his adviser John Brennan, faces fighting a far-flung terror network.

 

 

 
The key to success against the jihadists will always be good intelligence

 

Al-Qaeda shifts into dangerous new territory

The key to success against the jihadists will always be good intelligence.

President Barack Obama's statement on Saturday linking the failed airline bomb attack over Detroit on Christmas Day to an al-Qaeda group based in Yemen will have surprised no one. It confirmed, if confirmation were needed, that the coming decade will be as dominated as the last by the threat posed to the West by Islamist terrorism. The focus of the battle is, however, shifting. Significant successes by the United States and its allies in both Afghanistan and Pakistan have forced al-Qaeda largely to re-locate to Yemen and Somalia.

Yesterday the senior American commander in the region, General David Petraeus, met Ali Abdallah Saleh, the Yemeni President, to examine ways in which the United States can assist local security forces in hunting down al-Qaeda militants. The US and UK have already agreed to fund a counter-terrorism police unit there, and Gordon Brown will convene a summit in London at the end of the month devoted solely to the security situation in that country. At least Yemen has a functioning government with which the West can deal. Somalia does not, which will make al-Qaeda's gravitating to that wretched country all the more likely, and all the harder to handle.

Yet the key to success against the jihadists will always be good intelligence. This is the most troubling aspect of the failed Detroit attack. There was plentiful intelligence on Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, yet he still slipped through the net. It is imperative that the West's intelligence agencies become far smarter at sharing the information they have on terrorist suspects, and far more decisive in acting upon it.

Against this menacing background, the announcement by an Islamic group, Islam4UK, that it intends to carry mock coffins through Wootton Bassett in protest at the "murder" of Muslims in Afghanistan is repugnant. Freedom to demonstrate in this country is rightly treasured but if public order is threatened, as could well be the case here, the protesters should be told to conduct this nauseating charade elsewhere.

 

 

 

 

 
Only Israel facing Iran's growing power.

 

Protests in Tehran last week. The relationship between Iran and Iraq imperils the whole world

 

Iran: the truth the UK/US cannot admit

Ayad Jamal Aldin:

Official denials of involvement in kidnapping should not mask Tehran's growing power.

 

"Mr Moore was taken not by Iraqi criminals looking for a ransom, but by politically motivated forces with a bigger agenda. Those forces are Iranian: their agenda is to make Iraq a state that is Iran in all but name."

 Read Article

 

 

 

 
Violent Extremism and the Engineering Mindset.

 

Beware the militant engineers

Is there a connection between the mindset of those who study engineering as a subject, and violent extremism?

 

Amid all the discussion of Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab and his activities prior to boarding flight 253 for Detroit, the fact that he spent three years in London studying mechanical engineering has attracted relatively little attention.

A degree in engineering has no obvious connection with terrorism or religious/political extremism – and yet some research published earlier this year suggests it may be highly relevant.

Looking at the educational background of known militants, Diego Gambetta and Steffen Hertog found that "engineers are three to four times as likely as other graduates to be present among the members of violent Islamic groups in the Muslim world since the 1970s". In fact, the engineers in their sample outnumbered graduates of Islamic studies by more than two to one.

Gambetta and Hertog then set about trying to explain these findings. After rejecting several hypotheses, they settled on two factors as "the most plausible explanation". One was the "relative deprivation" of engineers in Muslim countries and the other was what they called the "engineering mindset".

"Relative deprivation" happens when high expectations or ambitions run into high levels of frustration. In Muslim societies engineering is an elite profession and the entry requirements set by universities are correspondingly high. Engineering has also been promoted by governments in the Middle East and elsewhere as part of their rhetoric of modernisation and technocratic development.

The rhetoric, however, has not been matched by reality – and the researchers suggest it could be a radicalising factor:

Individuals with above-average skills selected on merit are, one would expect, particularly exposed to the frustration and the sense of injustice that comes from finding their professional future hampered by lack of opportunities. This happened on a large scale as a result of the economic and technological development failures that Middle Eastern countries have witnessed since the 1970s.

How much of this applies to Abdulmutallab as a Nigerian is unclear but, considering his privileged family background, it seems quite likely that he felt he was not getting the recognition he was entitled to.

More interesting, and perhaps more likely to apply to Abdulmutallab, is the "engineering mindset". The idea here is that engineering as a subject – unlike, say, history or literature – appeals to students who like to deal in certainties and adopt a rather mechanical view of the world. "A lot of piecemeal evidence," Gambetta and Hertog write, "suggests that characteristics such as greater intolerance of ambiguity, a belief that society can be made to work like clockwork, and dislike of democratic politics which involves compromise, are more common among engineers".

Is this preponderance of engineers something that applies only to violent Islamists, Gambetta and Hertog wondered, or can a similar pattern be found among other kinds of extremists?

Among 19th and 20th century anarchists in a variety of countries they found plenty of lawyers, philosophers and doctors but relatively few engineers. Analysis of leftwing revolutionaries since the second world war showed "engineers were never a significant presence" except in Turkey and Iran (the only two Muslim countries surveyed). Palestinian militants (of a non-Islamist variety) included some engineers but not a disproportionately high number.

Intriguingly, though, the engineering-extremism connection found among violent Islamists does seem to be replicated to some extent, though less strikingly, among extreme rightwing and neo-Nazi groups in Germany, Austria and the US.

 

 

 

 
Obama, appearing weak, talks tough.

 

Obama talks tough on terror as Iran raises nuclear stakes

Withering criticisms from the right wing spurs the US President into belligerent rhetoric as threats from around the world mount up

President Barack Obama took on his Republican critics over national security by declaring that the United States remained at war with terrorists and vowing to strike at those behind the Christmas Day airplane bomb attempt.

The move marked a dramatic shift in tone from the White House, which has endured a week of withering attacks from Republicans who said it had mismanaged the response to the failed attack.

Obama used his weekly radio address to respond to comments by former Vice-President Dick Cheney, accusing him of pretending America was not at war. Obama insisted he had said America was at war from his first day in office: "On that day, I also made it very clear that our nation is at war against a far-reaching network of violence and hatred, and that we will do whatever it takes to defeat them and defend our country."

To back up his hard line, Obama also laid the blame for the Christmas Day attack at the lap of al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula. He said the group had equipped and sent out the Nigerian-bomb bomber Umar Abdulmutallab and would now be brought to justice. "All those involved in the attempted act of terrorism on Christmas must know: you too will be held to account," Obama said.

It is unlikely, however, that Obama's stance will do much to appease his Republican critics. America's right wing has been eager to attack him on a range of issues from Iran to Guantánamo Bay to Afghanistan. Yet at the same time Obama is also coming under pressure from the left wing of his own party and liberal groups which see him as continuing too many of the Bush policies.

Yemen has now emerged as an unwelcome new front. America has been providing support for the Yemeni government in its battle with Islamic militants, but the country has become more unstable and terrorist attacks from there more frequent. Before the attempted aircraft bombing, a radical Yemeni cleric was also linked to the recent shooting at Fort Hood where a Muslim American killed his fellow soldiers. The issue has been further complicated by the fact that several former Yemeni detainees at Guantánamo Bay have been linked to the recent aircraft attack.

Many of the criticisms levelled at Obama have had a strong echo of those that followed 11 September, 2001. Critics have pointed out that much key information was known about the attackers, but had not been co-ordinated among intelligence agencies. Indeed reforms brought in by Bush, such as creating the Department of Homeland Security, may have made the problem worse. "We are still having the co-ordinating problems that we had before 9/11. There is too much bureaucracy," said Ivan Eland, director of the Center on Peace & Liberty at The Independent Institute think-tank.

Obama has already ordered a review of procedures for intelligence gathering and information sharing, and will hold a meeting of top staff on Tuesday. In his radio address, he said he would ensure there was more effective co-ordination and that people would be held more accountable for their actions. "Let us ask the questions that need to be asked. Let us make the changes that need to be made. Let us debate the best way to protect the country we all love," he said.

One of the few brighter spots in Obama's troubled national security landscape is North Korea. Though relations with the nuclear-armed rogue state are always unpredictable, recent signs point to a potential thaw in relations. A US envoy recently visited the country and Pyongyang's annual New Year's message expressed a desire for a peace treaty with the US and South Korea.

~Iran, however, remains problematic. Tehran's quest for a domestic nuclear programme, and international efforts to prevent it from developing weapons, will this week enter into a new phase of diplomatic brinkmanship.

Last week, tens of thousands of supporters of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's regime demonstrated in Tehran in organised protests against foreign interference in Iran's affairs.

Less remarked on was the fact that a deadline for Iran to accept a UN-brokered deal passed on Thursday and raised the prospect of a fresh round of sanctions against Tehran. The country is already under three sets of UN sanctions for its programme of uranium enrichment, the process that can eventually lead to making the key components of an atomic bomb.

Instead a senior Iranian figure said the west had just one month to come up with a better deal for it to swap its low-enriched uranium for nuclear fuel. The international community had to decide whether it will accept Iran's conditions, otherwise "Tehran will enrich uranium to a higher level," Manouchehr Mottaki, Iran's foreign minister, was quoted as saying on state television. "This is an ultimatum," he added.

Many experts, however, think any resolution to the situation is unlikely. Critics of Tehran have alleged that the regime is using negotiations as a delaying tactic while it pursues its nuclear weapons ambitions. They say that much of the programme remains shrouded in secrecy and doubt the country's stated peaceful intentions, accusing it instead of wanting to build a bomb.

Israel, which has been repeatedly threatened by Iran, has said it will not tolerate Iran becoming a nuclear power and Israeli hawks have often raised the prospect of using a military strike to destroy Iran's nuclear facilities.

Most western diplomats believe such an attack would be a disaster that could ignite a much wider Middle Eastern conflict.

 

 

 
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