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14:10 - 10.02.2012
News >> Latest
From Prop. 8 to birth control, Santorum leads the culture warThe 2012 election was supposed to be about jobs and the economy and, though that will still be central, the dynamic has shifted.
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11:33 - 10.02.2012
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Romney defends 'long odds' as GOP governor of MassachusettsRepublican Mitt Romney usually shies away from his time as governor of Massachusetts, one of the US's most liberal states - but not in his latest speech.
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09:24 - 10.02.2012
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Was Saudi Arabia involved?In one of the "most troubling aspects" of the circumstances surrounding the attacks of September 11, 2001, the Central Intelligence Agency's Bin Laden unit did not tell anyone that "muscle" hijackers, Khalid al-Midhar and Nawaf al-Hazmi, were in the country. Maybe Saudi Arabia has an explanation.
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07:32 - 10.02.2012
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Mau-Mauing MittThe GOP elite are trying to scare the vulnerable Romney into adopting their right-wing agenda.
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05:46 - 10.02.2012
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Who ‘owns’ the Web?Jimmy Wales and Kat Walsh Wikipedia founder says the defeat of SOPA and PIPA provides the answer.
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05:17 - 10.02.2012
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"What the pols lack in brains they make up for with raw emotion"The problem is that the Republican Party doesn’t groom candidates – they emerge from state politics. On the one hand, that means the GOP is full of people who are in touch with ordinary folks and a stark contrast to the Harvard educated snobs who populate the Dems. On the other hand, there’s a lack of a certain polish and professionalism.
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05:03 - 10.02.2012
News >> Latest
The mystery of Hangar 3Their jets are seldom seen in public, but protesters say Aero Contractors Ltd. is linked to the CIA and involved in the “torture taxi” business. Yet, 10 years after the first “high-value” detainee was hooded and forced into a CIA plane, Aero’s presence remains for opponents a powerful symbol: a rare, visible reminder of what they view as a uniquely shameful chapter in America’s history.
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18:18 - 09.02.2012
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Romney to Woo Conservatives Republicans gathering for the year's marquee conservative conference say they are worried about the tone of the party's presidential race and the strength of front-runner Mitt Romney
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10:48 - 09.02.2012
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A Wealthy Backer Likes the Odds on Santorum Few people played a more pivotal role in Rick Santorum’s victories in Minnesota, Missouri and Colorado than Foster Friess, a wealthy donor to conservative causes.His role as outside funder — one that Mr. Friess indicated he would continue to play in the contests ahead — escalates the battle among a few dozen wealthy Republicans to influence their party’s choice of a presidential nominee.
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10:17 - 09.02.2012
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Mr. 'Inevitable' Gets Pummeled AgainWhy Santorum's sweep in three states is devastating for Mitt.
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GitmoNorth will haunt Obama's reelection. |
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It's Gitmo up northMoving the remaining detainees from Guantánamo to an empty prison in Illinois won't solve President Obama's problems Once again, President Obama has managed to anger both the right and the left. This time, it's not his contentious plans to overhaul the US healthcare system, a new costly economic stimulus or the deployment of yet more troops to Afghanistan that has Washington up in arms. This time it is his decision to send some 100 Guantánamo detainees to an empty prison in his home state of Illinois that has unleashed a political firestorm. In bringing dozens of terror suspects from Guantánamo Bay – that US naval base in Cuba now infamous around the world – to a town 150 miles west of Chicago, Obama has made a provisional solution become a permanent one. Liberals and rights groups denounced the news, blasting the president for creating "Gitmo North," a place where prisoners could still, in some cases, be held indefinitely without charge or trial. That's according to war powers George Bush and now Obama claim Congress granted the commander in chief after the September 11 attacks, for detainees considered ineligible for prosecution or too dangerous to release. Some could still be tried using the planned military commissions first crafted under Bush – and while Obama has revised the commissions, they still allow coerced and hearsay evidence, and fail to amount to the fair trial proceedings of courts martial and US federal courts. "The only thing that President Obama is doing with this announcement is changing the zip code of Guantánamo," said Amnesty International's US policy director, Tom Parker. Anthony Romero, executive director of the American Civil Liberties Union, which represents some of Guantánamo prisoners, warned: "The proceedings will achieve neither reliable justice nor a restoration of America's credibility around the world." Conservatives were equally unforgiving, saying the transfers would hamper US national security and allow the detainees to secure new legal rights. Senator John Cornyn of Texas called the decision "deeply troubling," adding that it "will put our citizens in unnecessary danger, and that is unjustifiable and unacceptable." With congressional midterm elections now less than a year away, it comes perhaps as no surprise that many lawmakers would seek to distance themselves from what, so far, remains a deeply unpopular decision. Just last week, a Gallup poll found that most Americans (64%) oppose the plans. That may become a significant roadblock for Obama down the road, as he will inevitably have to go through Congress both to secure the necessary funding and to change current legal parameters that only allow Guantánamo detainees to be brought to US soil for prosecution. Time is of the essence for Obama – the closer he gets to the November 2010 ballots that will see many Senate and all House seats up for grabs, the more hardened politicians will become. And the price tag is a hefty one, with the shift from Cuba to Illinois estimated to cost up to one billion dollars over four years. The move does bring Obama closer to fulfilling his landmark promise to shutter the controversial detention facility, although he has already acknowledged he will likely not meet his self-imposed January 22 deadline. The closure would be an important step, but none of the problems Guantánamo has created – shredding the US's image abroad and becoming a symbol of oppression – will be alleviated if the detainees are simply shipped to the US without resolving a series of troubling legal issues. Obama may have inherited the legal mess that is Guantánamo, but by recreating the same conditions, he is essentially adopting Bush policies, using the same justifications to eschew legal jurisprudence, the principle of innocent until proven guilty and the right to confront the accuser, that ancient writ of habeas corpus. Sugarcoating the issue is not enough. After months-long deliberations, it is neither political will nor public support but the economic downturn that led to a major breakthrough for Obama's plans to close Guantánamo. Why was the Thomson Correctional Centre chosen? The site was chosen, it seems, mainly for financial reasons, bringing much-needed cash and jobs – some 3,000, administration officials say – to a depressed part of the Midwest. Senator Dick Durbin, an Illinois Democrat and close Obama ally, called it a "great opportunity." But that argument could disappear as quickly as the region's economy recovers. The White House says the transfer will rob al-Qaida of what it calls a "clarion call" to rally extremists and likely supporters. But so long as the same legal limbo remains, the mere detention of the terror suspects will continue to fan the flames. Al-Qaida and groups like it will never run out of recruiting tools, manipulating any perceived injustice to justify the unjustifiable. Some 198 prisoners still linger at the site in southern Cuba. Obama's deadline has slipped out of his reach for several reasons, chief among them the reluctance of allies to take in the terror suspects and opposition at home to house them on US soil. Local politicians roundly rejected earlier plans to house them in Kansas, Michigan or South Carolina. Despite the goodwill still prevailing toward Obama around the world, he only received tepid and ultimately insufficient support to close Guantánamo for good. Only a trickle of detainees – around 42 – have been repatriated or resettled in third countries. Administration officials hope to prosecute around 40 of those remaining in military tribunals or, in a major departure from the Bush era, in US civilian courts. Five of the alleged 9/11 co-conspirators are set to be tried in civilian courts, including the self-proclaimed mastermind, Khaled Sheikh Mohammed. Another five are slated to face military commissions. One detainee has already been brought to New York, where he awaits trial. Some 30 "law of war" detainees could be held in that third grey area of indefinite detention without trial. The remainder, officials hope, would be shipped out to third countries. Obama insists he will release none of the men on US soil. Ultimately, the decision will not be up him but will rest in the judge's gavel and shrewd lawyers who have proved they can overturn Guantánamo rulings. Those cases that do make it to courts could go all the way to the Supreme Court, as they have before. And the nation's court has repeatedly ruled in favour of granting certain rights to the detainees. Long after the last detainees leaves Guantánamo, its name will continue to be heard. |
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Attack on Christmas Day not a coincidence. |
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Academic liberalism is a danger to life Telegraph View: Over the past decade, institutes of higher education in London have consistently provided sanctuary for Islamist students who parrot the hate-filled rhetoric of al-Qaeda and its allies. Comments 104 | Comment on this article Many of our readers will spend today squashed into airport queues slowed to a snail's pace by extra security measures. It will be a teeth-grindingly boring ordeal. But it will not be terrifying, unlike the experience of looking up from your in-flight movie to see flames bursting out of the leg of a passenger who is trying to murder you. On Christmas Day, Umar Farouk Abdul Mutallab very nearly managed to blow up a transatlantic airliner over Detroit. The authorities at Amsterdam's Schiphol airport allowed Abdul Mutallab to carry his syringe, liquid and powder on board. Suddenly, all that fuss about a thimbleful of perfume does not seem over the top. For passengers wondering why, yet again, the journey from check-in to departure lounge is a taste of hell on earth, the answer is straightforward. Religious terrorists are plotting to inflict on us a permanent state of earthly hell: airliners dropping from the skies, dirty bombs in shopping malls and cities, all leading to an Islamic caliphate whose totalitarian writ would run from Mecca to Milton Keynes. Was it coincidence that the attack took place on December 25? Of course not: this was an attempt to destroy the peaceful feast day of a Christian religion that the bomber despises. The British public is not so stupid as to think that most Muslims approve of Islamist terrorism: of course they do not. Moreover, although Muslims in opinion polls frequently express a preference for living in an Islamic state, only a small percentage share the jihadist fanaticism that inspired the airline bomber. Yet the awkward fact remains: of that percentage, a worrying number have lived in Britain and especially London. Some have studied at our universities: Abdul Mutallab graduated in mechanical engineering from University College London in 2008. Over the past decade, institutes of higher education in London have consistently provided sanctuary for Islamist students who parrot the hate-filled rhetoric of al-Qaeda and its allies. Again and again, speakers have been invited and rooms provided so that, in the name of free speech, vulnerable students can be indoctrinated. Some of those students may now be sitting in caves in Waziristan or cafés in the Yemen devising methods of killing Westerners. Perhaps they picked up their expertise in a British university laboratory. We may never know until it is too late. What we do know is that our security forces have consulted vice-chancellors in order to impress upon them the urgency of the threat. Unfortunately, that is easier said than done. Liberal British academics, along with their friends in the media and public sector, have a habit of diverting any discussion of terrorism away from Islamism towards the evils of Anglo-American foreign policy. By doing so they are less likely to offend students from developing countries whose delicate sensibilities seem to matter more than security. Perhaps some of those academics are stuck in airport queues today. If so, we must hope that it finally dawns on them that, irrespective of the complex causes of terrorism, their politically correct indulgence of Islamic radicals is making life more dangerous for all of us. |
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British "academics are knee-jerk anti-Americans" |
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America now associates London universities with terror plots and Islamic extremists By Damian Thompson Comment on this article The attempt to blow up an airliner as it approached Detroit airport is being reported in America with heavy emphasis on reports of the Nigerian suspect’s education at University College, London. “Terror Suspect Abdulmutallab is engineering student at elite London university,” is one typical headline. UCL has issued a statement saying a student named Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab studied mechanical engineering there between September 2005 and June 2008 – though it “wasn’t certain” the student was the same person who was on the plane. However, American public opinion will be quick to seize on this incident as yet more evidence that British universities, especially those based in the capital, are the natural habitat of potentially dangerous extremists. As the Telegraph reported in September, the British authorities are still pursuing charges against Waheed Zaman, the former president of the Islamic Society at London Metropolitan University, whose trial for conspiracy for murder ended in a hung jury at Woolwich Crown Court. (He had earlier been acquitted of plotting to bomb transatlantic aircraft.) A Telegraph report three years ago established that London Metropolitan University had been extremely careless, to put it mildly, about providing facilities for jihadists: Material found at two portable buildings used by the society includes documents advocating jihad and a pamphlet on how to deal with approaches from the security services. Prof Anthony Glees, the director of Brunel University’s centre for intelligence and security studies, criticised university authorities for ignoring the threat to national security in their midst. “Institutions have not sought to address the problem: they have instead sought to undermine those who have raised the issue,” he told this newspaper. Extremist Muslim groups had been detected at more than 20 institutions, both former polytechnics and long-established universities, over the past 15 years, Prof Glees said.
Earlier this month, Queen Mary college at London University was forced to withdraw an invitation to a spokesman for the Islamist group Hitzb ut Tahrir to address students. Meanwhile, London University’s School of African and Oriental Studies (SOAS) continues to attract accusations that it provides a platform for extremists. This Standpoint article by Alexander Meleagrou-Hitchens casts grave doubts over the impartiality of SOAS’s course on political Islam. Having myself been a postgraduate student at London University, I’d be amazed if the course had not been biased. I’m not accusing the university’s governing body of sympathising with terrorists, but many of its academics are knee-jerk anti-Americans who are more worried about causing offence to Muslim students than in keeping a watchful eye on political extremism. (SOAS is particularly shameless in this respect.) If, as seems likely, the Detroit incident is an example of a London University alumnus involved in Islamist terrorism, I bet you it isn’t the last. |
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Napolitano becomes Campaign Issue. |
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Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano took to the Sunday shows yesterday to declare that the "system worked" in Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab's alleged attempted bombing of Northwest Flight 253 as it descended into Detroit on Christmas Day. By this morning on the morning shows, Napolitano was back peddling faster than you can say, "non-stop." |
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UnderAchieving GOP Butt-Head says he will do better. |
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Democrats see Rep. Lungren as vulnerable in 2010Party strategists see the former state attorney general as easy prey because he won with less than 50% of the vote in a four-candidate race last year. Lungren vows to run a stronger race next year.Read More About this UnderAchieving Butt-Head |
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Rich and privileged - the gilded life of would-be plane bomber• Banker's son expressed approval of 9/11 to teacher • MI5 combing databases for alternative identities 
Would-be plane bomber Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab's father is one of Nigeria's most respected businessmen Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab's path towards apparent Islamist militancy took him to University College London and a luxury block just off the city's Oxford Street. But no part of his life was so seemingly anomalous to a would-be terrorist as the manicured lawns and tennis courts of the British International school in Togo, where he is believed to have first expressed extreme views. Today, investigators were trying to establish exactly what provoked him to try to detonate an explosive device as a Northwest Airlines jet made its final descent into Detroit airport on Christmas Day. It certainly wasn't a life of poverty. He was born in extreme privilege, of the sort few Nigerians could ever dream of, and his education reflected this. His father, Umaru Mutallab, 70, is one of the country's most respected businessmen, who retired earlier this month as chairman of Nigeria's FirstBank, the oldest bank in the country, with offices in London, Paris and Beijing. While the family comes from Katsina state in the Muslim-dominated north of Nigeria, where funding of hardline Islamist schools by Saudi Arabia and Iran has raised concerns of militancy among young people, Abdulmutallab first became noticeably religious while studying abroad at a very different institution. He undertook his secondary education as a boarder at the British school in Lomé, Togo's capital, which is mostly staffed by teachers from the UK and attracts wealthy students from across west Africa. Set up in 1983, the school gives pupils a decidedly English-style curriculum, taught in air-conditioned classrooms set amid grassy grounds which also feature a swimming pool and tennis courts. While pursuing his international baccalaureat, with impressive results, Abdulmutallab's preaching to his schoolmates earned him the nickname "Alfa" – a local name for Islamic scholars, according to Nigeria's This Day newspaper. Michael Rimmer, who taught Abdulmutallab history, and escorted him and other pupils on a school trip to the UK, said the teenager had been a model student who was keen, polite and eager to learn. However, Rimmer recalled a classroom discussion on Afghanistan's then-Taliban leaders following the September 11 attacks in 2001. All the other students, Muslims included, expressed their abhorrence of the regime, he said. "But [Abdulmutallab], actually, thought that they had it right and he thought their views were acceptable. I thought he was maybe just trying to play devil's advocate ... At the time I just thought, well, when people are young they can have silly views," he told BBC radio. Rimmer said that on hearing about his former pupil's arrest he was angry both with him and "the nutters who put these silly ideas in his head". He said: "He's got wonderful parents, he comes from a lovely family, he's got lots of friends, he had everything going for him. He's a fine-looking lad, very bright. I expected great things from him and he's thrown all this away. His parents will be absolutely devastated. He should have thought about this." According to a series of reports, after attending UCL, which has confirmed that a student of the same name studied mechanical engineering between 2005 and 2008, Abdulmutallab moved on to Egypt and Dubai, from where he severed ties with a family that was becoming increasingly concerned by his views. He also reportedly told US investigators that he was trained by al-Qaida in Yemen before the alleged attack. Nigeria's government said today that Abdulmutallab had been living outside the country "for a while" and only returned on Thursday, shortly before he left again on his way to Detroit. This Day quoted unnamed members of Abdulmutallab's family as saying his father was so concerned at the young man's views that six months ago he reported his fears to both the US embassy in Abuja and Nigerian security agencies. Umaru Mutallab, who began his working career as an accountant with Fuller Jenks Beecroft and Co in London in the 1960s and also served as a minister in the Nigerian government for a time, said he was "really disturbed" to learn his son had been arrested and was talking to Nigerian officials about their investigations. The newspaper spoke to another unnamed relative who said the family had become concerned in recent years that Abdulmutallab was involved with Boko Haram, a militant Islamist group also known as the Nigerian Taliban, which seeks to impose sharia law across the country. Hundreds of people were killed when security forces tried to crack down on the group in July this year. "We know Farouk's extreme views and were always apprehensive of where it may lead him to," the relative said. "He has maintained his distance from us and we never bothered him much. He wanted to be left alone so we respect his wishes." Any warnings were not, it seems, relayed to the UK. Abdulmutallab tried to return to Britain as a student in May this year and was refused entry, but only because UK Border Agency officials considered the educational institution he applied for to be bogus. His name, or the name he gave, did not appear on MI5 or counter-terrorist radar screens, according to officials. MI5 is continuing to trawl its databases to see if there is any trace of Abdulmutallab's movements in Britain and communications he had with friends or associates here. The agency's officers have not immediately found any links, the Guardian understands. Counter-terrorist officers said one of the problems was that he may not have used that name either in documents or in conversations. They are looking for what one official called "fragments of information". MI5 has devoted extra resources to the case to find out as much as they can about the young Nigerian, and are particularly keen to uncover information in two main areas: Abdulmutallab's relations with al-Qaida, if any, and how he managed to avoid security checks before boarding the plane. "The question is, to what extent is he linked to al-Qaida. He says he is but the term can cover a very broad spectrum," said a Whitehall official. It is not unknown for people from privileged backgrounds to become involved with al-Qaida, for example with Osama bin Laden and his deputy, Ayman Zawahiri. However, it seems that Abdulmutallab had no direct links with the al-Qaida core leadership based on the Afghan-Pakistan border, where most of Britain's suicide bombers or convicted terrorists trained. Abdulmutallab's actions were condemned by Nigeria's government, which has ordered an investigation into the incident. A spokesman for the senate, Ayogu Eze, called it a "strange act of terrorism". "We are at a loss as to where he got this strange habit, because Nigeria abhors terrorism in all its ramifications," he said. Nigeria's civil aviation authority said yesterday that Abdulmutallab bought his ticket at the KLM office in Accra, Ghana, just over a week before he travelled and paid the $2,831 (£1,775) fare in cash. Religious leaders across faiths also added strong criticism. Muslims constitute about half of Nigeria's 155 million people, with Christians slightly fewer. In recent years thousands of people have been killed in Muslim-Christian violence. One of the most prominent incidents occurred in Abdulmutallab's home state, where a woman was sentenced to death by stoning for alleged adultery in 2002. The decision – which was later overturned – caused several Miss World contestants to withdraw from the beauty pageant, which was being held in Nigeria the same year. |
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Umar Farouk Abdul Mutallab (red jacket), the man charged with attempting to blow up Northwest Airlines Flight 253 to Detroit, took two trips to London with classmates from the British School of Lomé, the first in 2001, shortly after the September 11 attacks. He is pictured here outside Buckingham Palace |
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"The war between al-Qaeda and the United States is a global war" |
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The Detroit airline bomb plot was planned in the land of bin Laden's ancestors. Richard Spencer reports "The war between al-Qaeda and the United States is a global war," says Riad Kahwaji, director of the Institute for Near East and Gulf Analysis in Dubai, who warned in October that President Obama's indecision on issues such as Afghanistan was creating a dangerous vacuum in the region. Read Article |
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"hatred and fear of women is one of the defining characteristics of Islamism" |
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December 28, 2009 Lost boys at war with modernity What is striking about these Islamists is that they are educated and very middle class Much as I dislike long flights, it has never occurred to me to board a plane with 80 grams of Semtex- derivative sewn into my knickers. Like most passengers, I read paperbacks, walk up and down the aisle a few times, and pick unenthusiastic- ally at the in-flight meals; I'm not sure how Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab chose to pass his nine-hour flight from Amsterdam to Detroit, but he must have been conscious that if he succeeded in his alleged purpose, none of the passengers around him was going to survive. As the world now knows, the previously obscure Abdulmutallab was removed from Northwest Airlines flight 253 with third-degree burns to his legs and groin after passengers spotted flames and dragged him from his seat. Although it has been reported that he shouted slogans about Afghanistan as he tried to trigger the device, 23-year-old Abdulmutallab does not fit the stereotype of a poverty-stricken jihadi; he is the son of a former chairman of First Bank of Nigeria and lived in an up-market flat in London while he studied for an engineering degree at University College. Yet again, an alleged terrorist has turned out to come from a background lacking in the commonly assumed triggers for Islamist radicalisation: poor family, lack of education, the grinding frustration of growing up with too few choices. That is the situation of millions of young men (and women) in the Middle East and Africa, but the vast majority don't become bombers. Indeed what is striking about the recruits attracted by the Islamist ideology of al-Qa'ida and its offshoots is that so many of them come from the educated middle class. Mohamed Atta, who piloted one of the planes which flew into the World Trade Centre on 11 September 2001, was a trained architect, while Bilal Abdulla and Kafeel Ahmed, who launched the failed attacks in London and Glasgow in the summer of 2007, were a doctor and an engineer respectively. Omar Khyam, one of five men jailed after Operation Crevice uncovered plots to blow up Bluewater shopping centre and the Ministry of Sound nightclub, came from Crawley, West Sussex, where he captained his school cricket team; much later he travelled to Pakistan to train in the camps where two of the 7/7 bombers, Mohammad Sidique Khan and Shehzad Tanweer, were taught to make bombs. So where should we begin to look for an explanation of the mechanisms which draw these young men into a secretive world of intolerance, hatred and violence? It is a very obvious point but insufficient account is taken of the fact that they are young and male; female suicide-bombers are rare, not because women are inherently nicer but because Islamism is an ideology which isn't much interested in (and has very little to offer) the female half of the human race. But if you are a troubled teenage boy or twenty-something, it offers a "warrior" identity which is at once exciting and promises to obliterate the complexities of the modern world at a stroke. This much is evident from the "martyrdom" videos made by the 7/7 bombers and other British-born jihadists. The whole business would be risible if the intended consequences weren't so deadly. These young men are desperately searching for an identity and they think they've found it in an ideology which reinforces their loathing for everything they find threatening. In that sense, Islamism resembles other extreme sects, religious or secular, in that it creates an "in" group whose members are encouraged to feel antagonistic to anyone who doesn't belong. In the 20th century, communist organisations were notoriously (and lethally, as Trotsky found out) fissiparous, while the enmity of competing groups within religions leaves outsiders baffled. The Islamist "club" excludes aspects of the modern world which are troubling for young men who feel torn between two cultures. Time after time, bombers display a similar set of characteristics: they take advantage of what modernity has to offer, becoming engineers or doctors, but reject great swathes of modern ideas. Osama bin Laden's pitch is a return to "traditional" values in which women and gay people disappear, along with anyone who doesn't subscribe to the Islamist's totalitarian world view. One of the mistakes that 21st-century commentators make is to treat Islamism as a new phenomenon, when there are instructive examples in history of a resort to hyper-masculine identities; in the Sixties, the leadership of the Black Panthers in the US created the paradox of a "liberation" movement that was a response to genuine grievances but disfigured by disgusting misogyny and homophobia. Mohamed Atta's misogyny emerged in his will, which stipulated that his corpse should not be touched by women. One of the would-be bombers caught in Operation Crevice suggested bombing the Ministry of Sound because it was full of "slags" enjoying themselves. Abdulla and Ahmed parked a car full of explosives outside a venue popular with hen nights. In the case of Abdulmutallab, friends could not recall ever seeing him with a girlfriend and one said he was "not a party boy. He'd never go to the disco". Of course no one has to like parties, but hatred and fear of women is one of the defining characteristics of Islamism. What's so depressing about the profile of these young would-be jihadists is that they exist at a moment of unparalleled opportunity, but they have been manipulated and turned against it. Abdulmutallab's father was so worried by his son's growing radicalisation that he reported his fears to the US embassy in Nigeria, but clearly the family had no idea how to counter it. No doubt the same conundrum is vexing millions of people who have read about the alleged attempt to kill almost 300 people on a transatlantic flight on Christmas Day. Terrorism is protean, changing its form as the security services struggle to use their knowledge of the last attack to predict where the next will come from. But some things are clear: Islamism is a symptom, not a remedy, and any programme to counter it needs to focus on making insecure individuals feel more at ease with themselves. Islamism has no coherent alternative to equality, free speech and democracy, and its offer is a literal dead end: a pantomimic version of masculinity perfectly symbolised by a young man boarding a plane in exploding knickers. |
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"Al-Qaida's flawed vision" |
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Al-Qaida's flawed visionThe attempted bombing of the Northwest Airlines flight exposes an unresolved tension at the heart of militant Islam Almost before Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab was being led down the steps of Northwest Airlines flight 253 he had been linked to al-Qaida. He himself has apparently claimed he was trained and commissioned by an al‑Qaida master bomb-maker in Yemen. Whatever the eventual conclusion about his alleged international mission – a Nigerian living in London, trained in Yemen to blow up US planes – his case should not distract us from the fact that modern Islamic militancy is primarily a local phenomenon, not a global one. The tension between these two is the unresolved flaw at the heart of the international militant project. Al-Qaida was set up by Osama bin Laden, a Saudi, and a handful of others, many Egyptian, to overcome the disunity among the foreign volunteers who fought with the Afghan mujahideen against the Soviets in the 1980s. The global call to arms that Bin Laden issued in the 1990s was only partially effective. In a letter I found in an al-Qaida camp in Afghanistan in 2001, a Jordanian volunteer complained that his Algerian, Moroccan and Saudi counterparts kept to themselves even at prayer times. This parochialism was obscured through the first years of the 9/11 era as bombs exploded from Bali to London and, more recently, as new al-Qaida offshoots were formed. However, beneath this apparent internationalism other elements were present. In many of the major actions, bombers struck within the country – and sometimes within the town – of their birth. Many targets were selected with an international dimension in mind, but many others were not. One reason conspirators said they bombed the nightclub in Bali in 2002 was that it did not allow locals in. In Morocco, alongside the Jewish targets, a restaurant patronised by the local elite was hit. In Madrid, immigrants struck under a mile from where many of them lived or socialised. There was little international about the targets or the perpetrators of the 7/7 London bombings. One key shift came in 2006. With its international global jihad increasingly rejected by the Sunni minority in Iraq, al-Qaida there tried to rebrand itself as "the Islamic state of Iraq". When the disparate factions of Pashtun tribesmen formed a coalition in Pakistan's North-West Frontier province in 2007, they called it Tehrik-e-Taliban-e-Pakistan, the union of Pakistani Taliban, a title that insists on a primarily national identity. In Yemen and Saudi Arabia in recent years, 90% of the efforts and rhetoric of local militants have been directed against local targets. Al-Qaida in the Maghreb is actually 90% Algerian in composition and agenda. In Indonesia, Jemaa Islamiya, responsible for the Bali bombing, has decided the local situation doesn't justify violent jihad, and it has ceased military operations in the country. Recent attacks in Jakarta were the work of a breakaway group. Al-Qaida's project is often wrongly portrayed as having roots in the protection of local specificity against a rampant globalisation. In fact, al-Qaida's ideology is as disrespectful of local difference as any other global ideology. Where the al-Qaida project does coincide with local concerns, the combination is potent. Yet such situations are rare. The problem with "joining the dots" between the countries any individual militant may have visited is that it falsifies the picture by over-emphasising the international dimension. Ultimately, all politics is local. And, whatever the story of Abdulmutallab, we should not let it blind us to the fact that Islamic militancy is no exception. |
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Iranian protesters are dying for freedom – where is Barack Obama? |
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Iranian protesters are dying for freedom – where is Barack Obama? By Nile Gardiner World Last updated: December 27th, 2009 Comment on this article I wrote back in June about the shameful silence of the Obama administration during the mass street protests that greeted Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s fraudulent re-election victory as President of Iran. As White House spokesman Robert Gibbs ludicrously put it, the administration was “impressed by the vigorous debate and enthusiasm this election generated.” Or in Vice President Joe Biden’s words on NBC’s Meet the Press, describing Ahmadinejad’s victory – “we’re going to withhold comment… I mean we’re just waiting to see.” Embarrassingly for Washington, even many European leaders showed more backbone in condemning the Iranian regime’s brutal suppression of protestors, with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton humiliatingly outflanked by her French and German counterparts, who had no qualms about speaking out swiftly and firmly against the election result and the actions of the Iranian government. In the six months that have followed, Barack Obama’s high-risk engagement strategy has simply encouraged more repression from the Mullahs, as well as ever greater levels of defiance over Iran’s nuclear weapons programme. As Con Coughlin noted in an excellent piece for The Wall Street Journal last month, Obama’s Iran diplomacy isn’t working: “Iranian human-rights groups say that since the government crackdown began in late June, at least 400 demonstrators have been killed while another 56 are unaccounted, which is several times higher than the official figures. The regime has established a chain of unofficial, makeshift prisons to deal with the protesters, where torture and rape are said to be commonplace. In Tehran alone, 37 young Iranian men and women are reported to have been raped by their captors.” Now once again huge street protests have flared up on the streets of Tehran and a number of other major cities, with several protesters shot dead this weekend by the security forces and Revolutionary Guards, reportedly including the nephew of opposition leader Mir Hossein Mousavi, and dozens seriously injured. And again there is deafening silence from the Commander-in-Chief as well as his Secretary of State. And where is the president? On vacation in Hawaii, no doubt recuperating from his exertions driving forward the monstrous health care reform bill against the overwhelming will of the American public and without a shred of bipartisan support. This is not however a time for fence-sitting by the leader of the free world. The president should be leading international condemnation of the suppression of pro-democracy protesters, and calling on the Iranian dictatorship to free the thousands of political dissidents held in its torture chambers. Just as Ronald Reagan confronted the evils of Soviet Communism, Barack Obama should support the aspirations of the Iranian people to be free. The United States has a major role to play in inspiring and advancing freedom in Iran, and the president should make it clear that the American people are on the side of those brave Iranians who are laying down their lives for liberty in the face of tyranny. |
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Al-Qaida has changed its face/base |
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Al-Qaida has changed its face and operates from a different baseSomalia and Yemen have become the hot spots for jihadist activities and recruitment A few months ago the story about al-Qaida was how, under pressure in Afghanistan and Pakistan, it had largely been unravelled and its operational abilities degraded. Now, after the attempted downing of a US jet bound for Detroit, the same sources – the US and UK intelligence agencies – say not only that al-Qaida is still a dangerous threat, but that it may have managed to export and reconstitute parts of its operations to Somalia and Yemen. So what, precisely, should we believe? The reality is that there have always been Islamist groups in Africa who have described themselves as being al-Qaida. While some have been more closely associated with the core of Osama bin Laden's ideology and were involved in early al-Qaida spectaculars in Africa, others have used the name as a cover for criminality. In the past two years, however, there have been a number of significant changes in Somalia and Yemen that have contributed to the emergence of a more widespread and cohesive jihadi ideology far more closely aligned to al- Qaida's aims and agendas. In large part – at least in Somalia – US intervention has been responsible for the radicalisation. When the Islamic Courts Union emerged in Somalia in 2006 and brought a brief period of relative calm to the country it was America that encouraged its toppling. The consequence was a splitting away of a hardline faction of the courts' militia – known as the Shabaab – who the US defined as al-Qaida allies or proxies and have targeted, including with drones. The emergence of the Shabaab, which controls large swaths of Somalia, has coincided – if the claims of the US intelligence agencies are to be believed – with events in the "Af-Pak" theatre. Seasoned Arab al-Qaida fighters have been replaced by Central Asians and transferred to Yemen and Somalia under the guidance of its chief of external operations, Saleh al-Somali, who was killed in a drone attack in Waziristan this month. What has also been well documented in the past few months has been the existence of an active recruitment system targeting young Somalis with US, European and Australian passports to train in camps that have sprung up in Somalia in particular. Twenty, it is believed, travelled from Minneapolis alone. Twenty more from Stockholm are also thought to have attended training camps, along with dozens of young British Somalis. Last spring it emerged that some of the four Australian citizens arrested and charged with planning to attack an army barracks had trained in Somalia. It is not only in Somalia that it is claimed al-Qaida is reconstituting itself. In Yemen an insurgency in the remote Shabwa region backed by groups claiming loyalty to al-Qaida has provided a second regional centre. It was there, four days ago, that an al-Qaida-supporting group said it had declared war on the US. Large questions remain. A number of those who have gone back to fight – or be recruited for training – appear to have died fighting, particularly in Somalia. And while more than $1bn a year in remittances goes back to Somalia, suggesting that the Shabaab would not be short of money for operations, it is unclear how well al-Qaida operations in both Yemen and Somalia are organised. Equally uncertain is the scope of their agenda: whether they are more focused for now on a local, rather than international, jihad. One thing, however, is quite clear. It is that the new al-Qaida has a very different face and a different base. If the threat is as real as suggested by the attempted attack on Northwest Airlines, the West's security services will be playing catch-up. |
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Nigerian would-be bomber was Barred from Britain. |
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Nigerian student Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, charged with attempting to blow up a plane carrying 278 passengers, had applied for a bogus college course. |
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Michele Bachmann getting noticed. |
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Michele Bachmann is welcome at tea parties The Republican congresswoman from Minnesota has become a rare elected official to be embraced by the vocal small-government activists. And the GOP is taking note. Read Article |
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WashPost: "The decade we didn't see coming" |
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The decade we didn't see coming 
ESSAY From 9/11 to the recession, the '00s smashed our complacency, leaving us guardedly hopeful of better days ahead. Read Article |
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Obama Poll - Disapprovals Up. |
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"Overall, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. The President’s overall approval has stayed between 44% and 46% every day for thirteen days. Prior to that, it had stayed between 46% and 50% every day for more than two months. Fifty-six percent (56%) now disapprove of the President’s performance." Read Article |
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"A victory that may come to define the Obama presidency" |
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A victory that may come to define the Obama presidency The deal on US healthcare is a compromise, but still hugely significant American presidents, it is often said, have about a year to make their mark – enact a major piece of legislation that then shapes and defines the rest of their term in office. Failure to choose the right weapons, or the right turf, can be fatal. Barack Obama has at times struggled to find a cause he can truly make his own. He seemed to take on too many issues at once, from Middle Eastern peace to climate change, without demonstrating that he had a clear strategy to carry them through. With the Senate's passage of his bitterly contested healthcare bill, the clouds have lifted a little. Just in time for the Christmas break, the President can afford to wipe the sweat from his brow and contemplate his holiday with some satisfaction. Much attention here and in the United States has been focused on what this mammoth undertaking, involving nine months of political haggling, has already cost him politically. To many of the most fervent Obama supporters, the compromises he has had to strike in order to guide the bill through the Senate and the House of Representatives have resulted not in a golden mean but leaden mediocrity. For left-wing Democrats, abandonment of the so-called public option, the direct provision by the state of health insurance for the poor, is a bitter pill. That is almost certainly a lost cause now, a casualty of a savage Senate battle against resurgent Republicans who closed ranks against Obama's supposedly "socialist" health reforms with frantic and, at times, disconcerting zeal. Nor is the battle over the trimmed-down health reform package finished, even now. What the Senate agreed to on Christmas Eve was not the same package that the House of Representatives nodded through in the autumn. A joint committee will have to meet, therefore, probably within the next few days, to fuse the two bills into one, which will then go back to both houses. Only then will the bill become law, hopefully before the President delivers the State of the Union address next month. Nevertheless, we should not lose ourselves in all the details about messy compromises, and so miss the vital significance of what Mr Obama is tantalisingly close to achieving. The President is surely right to assert that most of a loaf is better than no loaf at all, and to describe his health reform package as the most important item of social policy in America since the 1930s. Tens of millions of poor Americans who have been denied healthcare cover in the past can in all likelihood look forward quite soon to a day when they will be able to face the prospect of illness with a little more equanimity than they do now. Under the new bill, most people who are not currently covered by Medicaid – the existing federal and state-funded insurance scheme for those on low incomes – will either have access to it, or will receive subsidies to obtain health insurance elsewhere. Businesses will be obliged to offer coverage to their employees. The number of potential beneficiaries of these changes is huge, and could affect the lives of more than 30 million people. Democratic presidents and politicians since the era of Teddy Roosevelt have fought and lost battles to set up a comprehensive national system of health insurance for Americans – a system that would benefit the many, not just the few. The Clintons tried their hand at this and failed. If Mr Obama closes this deal, he has a chance to earn a place in American history as a great reformer. |
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London home of Detroit terror suspect searched |
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Passengers and crew foiled an al-Qaeda-inspired attempt to blow up a passenger jet with 289 people on board. Read Article |
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NYT: Elite U.S. Force Expanding Hunt in Afghanistan |
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Elite U.S. Force Expanding Hunt in Afghanistan Kevin Frayer/Associated Press American and Afghan troops in Helmand Province. Special Operations units are stepping up attacks on insurgents, officers say. |
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Democrats should heed Daley's steer-to-the-center advice
By David S. Broder Sunday, December 27, 2009; A21
On the day before Christmas, President Obama found two presents under his tree. One was the health-care reform bill passed that morning by the Senate, a historic measure so freighted with promise and problems that it could blow up. The other was an op-ed in The Post by William Daley, his fellow Chicagoan and one of the canniest Democrats I know, warning Obama that he is on the verge of losing his hold on the vital center of politics. Daley, a former commerce secretary who shares with his brother, Mayor Richard M. Daley, and their late father an iron grip on reality, cited all the signs of defection among swing voters whose support in 2006 and 2008 swelled Democratic ranks in Congress and elected Obama. He ticked off the losses Democrats suffered in the only two gubernatorial elections of 2009, in New Jersey and Virginia; the polls showing independents rejecting Democrats (and such handiwork as the health-care bill); a wave of early retirements by marginal House members; and, last week, the party switch by Alabama Rep. Parker Griffith from Democratic to Republican. To be sure, there are counter-indicators not mentioned by Daley, including a string of special election congressional victories for the Democrats, culminating in New York's 23rd District. The Republican civil war that enabled this upset is symptomatic of a growing GOP liability that could cripple the party's comeback hopes. But this does not weaken the thrust of Daley's main argument. His target is the left of his party -- the grass-roots liberal activists who condemn the centrist Democrats sitting in marginal seats for blocking some provisions of health-care reform, for example, and the leaders of organized labor who threaten to retaliate by withholding their support from the moderates. These groups put heavy pressure on Obama to move his agenda to the left -- even when a Congress with swollen Democratic majorities is balking at the measures that Obama already has endorsed. The president is surrounded by people who share Daley's grasp on reality, none more important or better placed than Rahm Emanuel, the White House chief of staff and a fellow Chicagoan. But the picture is not so clear on the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's inner circle is made up of long-standing veterans of gerrymandered House districts, virtually immune from Election Day challenge, just as she is. The wants and needs of "the Democratic base" count heavily for them, and Daley's warnings may be resented or ignored. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid's home-state party in Nevada is as closely tied to the unions as Michigan used to be in the days of Walter Reuther, and Reid views the world from that perspective. As a loyal Democrat, Daley insisted in the closing paragraphs of his op-ed that his party is not doomed to ruin. It can still avoid anything more than a minimal setback in 2010, he said, if it will simply "acknowledge that the agenda of the party's most liberal supporters has not won the support of a majority of Americans -- and, based on that recognition . . . steer a more moderate course on the key issues of the day, from health care to the economy to the environment to Afghanistan." I am not so certain. It will be up to Obama to steer the Democrats in that direction. No one on Capitol Hill is likely to lead such a change. The first test will come with the revisions of health care in the House-Senate conference and whether the White House insists on strengthening the cost-saving measures in the bills. The larger tests will lie in Obama's 2010 State of the Union and budget messages -- whether he fulfills his promise to start addressing the runaway budget deficits left in the wake of the recession. A presidential endorsement of the much-discussed commission empowered to slow the hemorrhage of red ink would signal to voters that Daley's message has been heard. E |
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Compromising on 2 Issues, Obama Gets Partial Wins |
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Compromising on 2 Issues, Obama Gets Partial Wins WASHINGTON — President Obama’s chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, likes to say that the only thing that is not negotiable is success. The last 48 hours offered a case study in how the president applies that maxim to governing. After weeks of frustrating delays and falling poll numbers, Mr. Obama decided to take what he could get, declare victory and claim momentum on some of the administration’s biggest priorities, even if the details did not always match the lofty vision that underlined them. From Copenhagen to Capitol Hill, the president determined the outer limits of what he could accomplish on climate change and health care and decided that was enough, at least for now. He brokered a nonbinding agreement with other world powers to fight global warming, averting the collapse of an international summit meeting. And he blessed a compromise on health care to guarantee the votes needed to pass the Senate. Neither deal represented a final victory, and in fact some on the left in his own party argued that both of them amounted to sellouts on principle in favor of expediency. But both agreements served the purpose of keeping the process moving forward, inching ever closer toward Mr. Obama’s goals and providing a jolt of adrenaline for a White House eager to validate its first year in office. Mr. Obama seemed encouraged by the progress. He had just left Denmark on Air Force One with the climate change agreement in hand when he reached Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the majority leader, and heard of the health care deal. “He was, fair to say, pretty happy,” Mr. Reid later told reporters. After landing in a Washington-area snowstorm and retiring for a few hours of rest, Mr. Obama appeared in the Diplomatic Reception Room of the White House on a snowy Saturday. He called the health care deal “a major step forward” and the climate change agreement an “important breakthrough.” Still, he acknowledged that neither was exactly what he had set out to achieve. On climate change, he said that the Copenhagen pact “is not enough” and that “we have a long way to go.” On health care, he noted that “as with any legislation, compromise is part of the process.” In an interview, Mr. Emanuel said the developments showed that Mr. Obama “sets out the North Stars for us” in terms of broad and ambitious goals, but is willing to let his staff and allies haggle over the specifics. “He doesn’t negotiate the ends,” Mr. Emanuel said. “He’s very open to discussing alternative routes.” Critics cautioned against making too much of the agreements. “They are pyrrhic victories,” said John Feehery, a Republican strategist and former Capitol Hill aide. “Neither deal will necessarily improve his poll ratings with swing voters, nor will they energize his base. And neither take the necessary steps to put the American economy back on track, which should be the only thing he is thinking about right now.” The climate deal in particular may seem more than it is. With the Copenhagen conference unable to agree on binding limits on greenhouse gases linked to climate change, Mr. Obama settled for a three-page agreement with no short or midterm goals but a long-term commitment to prevent world temperatures from rising by more than two degrees by midcentury. The health care legislation is much further along, and while it compromised on abortion and abandoned a government-run health plan, it still includes many changes long favored by Democrats. If it passes the Senate this week as now appears probable, it stands a much better chance of actually becoming law, culminating decades of largely failed efforts to revamp the nation’s health care system. Mr. Obama has put a high value on process and keeping things moving, recognizing that history generally does not remember the to and fro, only the big sweep of presidential accomplishments. He may not get the health care plan he envisioned but, if the legislation passes, he will insure 30 million more people, stop insurers from denying coverage for pre-existing conditions and at least try to rein in costs. He will not end climate change in his presidency, and may not get the market-based emission caps he wants, but he may move the country, and the world, toward meaningful action. Of course, to many on both sides of the aisle, there is a less sympathetic narrative. To the left, Mr. Obama seems increasingly to lack the fire to fight on matters of principle. To the right, he appears to be overreaching, saddling the country with debt and the weight of a bloated and overly intrusive government. Yet whatever their merits, coming at the end of a tough first year, the developments of the past couple of days were something of a balm for the Obama White House. Little this year has come as easily as Mr. Obama and his team once imagined, but as they sort through the balance sheet, they argue that the mediocre poll ratings do not reflect the record. Mr. Emanuel noted that a year ago, the economy was on the brink of a depression and the financial and auto industries were near collapse. Today, the economy is growing again, and banks and one of the large car companies are repaying government bailouts, although unemployment remains perilously high and the national debt is soaring. He also ticked off a series of legislative measures that passed with little notice — an expansion of health care for lower-income children, new regulations on the tobacco and credit card industries and an overhaul of military acquisition. With health care now looking closer to passage, Mr. Emanuel called it the “most significant legislative first year of a first-term president since Franklin Delano Roosevelt.” Even so, White House officials are frustrated at the difficulties they have had. As they talk about their agenda for 2010, some Democrats have suggested looking for a few easy, popular initiatives as sort of a breather between the big-ticket, often polarizing proposals that dominated 2009. The problem, as they noted, is that they had expected some of this year’s proposals to be more popular, only to discover otherwise in a treacherous political climate. |
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Drone Breach Stirs Calls to Fill Cyber Post |
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Drone Breach Stirs Calls to Fill Cyber Post 
Getty Images Staff members at the Oct. 30 opening ceremony of the U.S. Computer Emergency Readiness Team/National Cybersecurity and Communications Integration Center facility in Arlington, Va. The facility is designed to help protect the country's technological infrastructure. Read Article |
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The two big mistakes the White House made on health care. |
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The two big mistakesMichael Tomasky I do think there are two tactical errors the White House made with regard to healthcare. There may be more. But these are the two that matter. And these are beyond doing it this year, which I've said many times I was against. First -- I've said this too, come to think of it -- not enough emphasis was placed on the moral case for changing the status quo. Obama placed emphasis on cost savings. One understands why, I guess, given the state of the economy right now (although this circles back to my main argument that they should have waited until the economy was better). But the problem with the p.r. campaign was that they didn't show how this would change many peoples' lives for the better. Now, lots of us are asserting that, but we're doing so in a vacuum because the White House didn't really do it. For the last four months, Obama could have had weekly or bi-weekly events of some sort with humble working- to middle-class Americans who got thrown off their plans over cancer or diabetes or whatever. Or merely who saw their premiums increase by 18% in a single year. He talked a lot about these things in abstract terms. But that isn't remotely the same as putting actual human faces on the narrative. TV eats that kind of thing up. If he'd had eight or 10 such sessions over the last 16 weeks, the polls would be better right now -- not massively, maybe, but better enough that it would matter. Second, the administration -- Obama himself sometimes, but especially Rahm Emanuel -- have tonally mishandled the relationship with the left-activist-blogospheric wing. Every time one of those stories appeared on HuffPo of the Emanuel to netroots: STFU variety, and there were loads of 'em, it just gave people something to be righteously angry about. Whether the posture on the netrootsy left might be different today if Emanuel in particular had been a tad more sensitive in his posture toward that cohort is right now a topic of intense debate. I think a more respectful tone, even if it had led to the same policy outcome, would have helped some. Not massively, but enough. The administration does need to learn from this. Obama needs to give Emanuel a talking to, more specifically. If the bill passes, the administration will need, by next November and especially by 2012, to get these folks back in a positive frame of mind. Irrespective of who's to blame, that's going to be a big job. |
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Obama is "handcuffed by the political mess at home" |
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Obama is handcuffed by the political mess at homeAs much as I thought I felt the urgency around the need for solutions to global warming, my memory is now imprinted with the faces and stories of the true front-line communities of this impending catastrophe. It is the survival of my young colleagues from Kenya, the Maldives and other small nations that will propel me to fight harder. A fair, ambitious and binding deal failed because of the United States's inability to take action domestically on climate. The president's position seemed handcuffed by the political mess back home. And without US leadership and willingness to put aggressive targets, long-term financing or a legally binding option on the table, other nations were able to hide behind the US's position. It is a shame. As an American, I can see no more fitting role than going home and revving up the American people to action in more significant terms than we've ever seen. This may require us to be a more creative and less insular movement. While many of us thought we might be in a better position coming out of Copenhagen, we must now be focused in our approach and priorities. The US found $700bn to bail out banks. We cannot defer our responsibility on funding a global climate deal. The world needs to come up with $200bn a year to help the most vulnerable nations. It is an embarrassment that while the African and island nations were calling for reductions in carbon to ensure we don't go above 1.5C in the warming of our planet, the US refused even to use the most recent science to come up with its target. The world is using a 1990 base and the US has disguised our proposed 4% reductions in carbon by calling it a 17-20% reduction and using a 2005 baseline. This shows a lack of sincerity in actually wanting to address the problem. The administration should work to ensure that we are not only in a place to get a binding agreement in Mexico, but that we have the votes in the Senate ready to ratify it as well. This is a pivotal moment and the president has the opportunity to stand up for a generation around the world and fight for our future. Once we recover from our disappointment, we will realise that we now have some ground on which to build. Not to mention a bursting-at-the-seams, pulsing climate movement that has been strengthened by this setback. On the precipice of a new decade in which that generation will come to fruition, there is no choice but to forge ahead. We are prepared for the struggle and we will win. • Jessy Tolkan is executive director of the Energy Action Coalition |
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Health-care debate wearing on Democrats' unity, popularity |
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Health-care debate wearing on Democrats' unity, popularity
By Dan Balz Washington Post Staff Writer Saturday, December 19, 2009 Amidst the spectacle that has become the health care debate, Democrats have taken comfort in the belief that they will be rewarded politically if in the end they pass something -- almost anything. That proposition is being sorely tested in these final days of maneuvering. For all the talk of the damage President Obama has sustained during this long and difficult year, congressional Democrats have suffered at least as much -- and will have to face the voters far sooner than the president. Senate Majority Leader Hary Reid announced Saturday he had the 60 votes to pass the bill. The House still must be persuaded to go along but Obama and the Democrats are one step closer to achieving the goal that has eluded so many presidents and Congresses. That in itself is a significant achievement. The long fight has been costly, however. The health care debate has split the Democratic coalition. Unity has given way to bitter infighting. This has been a moment for individuals to make war on one another. What good will that existed among Democrats at the start of Obama's presidency has been fractured and will be difficult to put together again. The events of the past week underscore that reality. Joe Lieberman who bolted the party in 2006 to salvage his Senate seat and then accepted the Democrats' generosity to maintain his committee chairmanship despite having backed John McCain in last year's presidential race, held the party hostage in negotiations, enraging many liberals. Howard Dean, who has grievances about the way he was discarded by the Obama team after running the Democratic National Committee for four years, has led a vocal guerrilla war against the bill from outside the Congress, enraging the party leadership. Democratic centrists have extracted costly promises to stay aboard but still fear for their political futures. Bloggers and progressive activists have counterattacked against them vowing retribution. Labor is unenthusiastic to hostile. Progressives in Congress have swallowed hard over the compromises that have been needed to round up enough votes to beat back a Republican filibuster. Hard-headed politicians would say there was no way to avoid this kind of squabbling, given the stakes and complexity of health care reform and the rules of the Congress. There are no immaculate legislative struggles on a piece of social legislation of this consequence. Leading Democrats also believe that, in the end, voters care less about process than about outcomes. If, in the face of united Republican opposition, the Democrats produce historic changes in the availability of health care to millions more citizens and protect against some of the arbitrary practices of the insurance industry, that will override the messy path to success. But there is something broader for Democrats to worry about as they try to finish their work this year and prepare for 2010 and the midterm elections. What began as an undercurrent of dissatisfaction has grown throughout the year. Disappointment with the president is dwarfed by discontent with the Congress. No Congress is ever loved, but the assessments of this Congress are striking in their negativity. In the most recent NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll only seven percent rated the performance of Congress above average, and 34 percent called it one of the worst. Two benchmarks put that number into perspective. In October 1994, shortly before Republicans ousted Democrats from power in the House and Senate, 16 percent called that Congress one of the worst. In October 2006, just before Democrats recaptured control, 25 percent called that Congress one of the worst. In the past five months, the percentage who rate this Congress that low has jumped 11 percentage points. Thirty-five percent gave the Democratic Party a positive rating, still higher than the 28 percent who rated the Republican Party that way. But since February, Democrats have seen their overall image go from net positive to net negative. Republicans, while still living in negative territory, have improved slightly. A third finding underscores the problem for Democrats: 38 percent said their member of Congress deserves to be reelected, while 49 percent said it is time to give a new person a chance. That is identical to the percentage who said give a new person a chance a month before the 1994 GOP landslide and slightly above the number a month before the 2006 Democratic takeover. Why won't that anti-Washington sentiment fall equally on Republicans and Democrats? Because it rarely does. Republicans are hardly secure or popular, but Democrats are in control. If the public is ready for change again next November, the Democrats will feel the brunt of that anger. Many factors contribute to the dissatisfaction with Washington. People are angry about bailouts for bankers. The unemployment rate is at 10 percent. They see the deficit rising and worry about the long-term consequences. Conservatives and liberals question whether their leaders have the right priorities. Health care has exhausted the Democrats and tested their capacity to govern. Democrats hope that passage of a health care bill will prove to be a political restorative. But the longer the debate has gone on, the less people like what they think they may be getting. Congress may be on the cusp of a historic achievement, but right now the public believes the status quo is preferable to change. Democrats have a dual problem. They must find the votes to pass a bill to avoid the charge that, even with their big majorities, they are incapable of governing. They also must persuade voters that the policy changes they want to enact include far more plusses than minuses. That is a big challenge, not only for Obama and Democratic leaders. They are governing in difficult times and and see themselves close to the finish line on health care. But they are nonetheless bracing for a difficult election year in 2010. |
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Gingrich, if he can last, looks to Super Tuesday
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White House Intern,19-year-old virgin, had 18 month affair with JFK
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French interior minister: some civilisations are “superior” to others
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Obama's reelection campaign submarine
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Don’t buy the GOP’s ‘Europe’
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"They don’t want their great music involved in the impure business of politics.”
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With 2012 decided, looking to 2016
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Obama Reelected
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Taliban leader Mullah Omar 'sent letter to Barack Obama'
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An Aggressive Iran Has Decided to Fight
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Obama Re-elected, NATO Pulls out, Taliban Returns - 15 wasted years
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Leading a global effort to combat corruption?
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"Mitt Romney is not heartless, he's merely clueless"
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How does the Romney-Obama contest stack up?
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LATimes: Romney a mixed blessing for Mormons
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GOP Turbulence
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The Trump trap
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NYT: Secrecy Shrouds ‘Super PAC’ Funds
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Newt: "I like hiring people."
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Iran Still Not Afraid of Obama
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AsiaTimes: US tells Israelis it won't join their fight
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Ron Paul’s Long Game
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Who Really Believes This?
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Cal GOP Dying
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Obama Doing Big Box Office in Hollywood
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Have the Democrats Already Destroyed Romney?
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LATimes: GOP's free-market pitch may flop in Nevada
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